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RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
Borralho vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
RV
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
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JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
RS
Yadong vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
CB
MO
CB
Vieira vs BrundageMain Card · Middleweight
FP
JE
Padilla vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
ML
WC
Lima vs Cortes-AcostaMain Card · Heavyweight
TW
JQ
Waters vs QuinlanMain Card · Welterweight
MB
JC
Buday vs CollierPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CD
CJ
Durden vs JohnsonPreliminary Card · Flyweight
IA
SE
Alekseeva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MM
JN
McGhee vs NewsonPreliminary Card · Catchweight
JH
HC
Horth vs CowanPreliminary Card · Catchweight
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Borralho 17-2
VS
22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'1"
height
6'0"
185 lb
weight
186 lb
75"
reach
74"
33
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
3.0
strikes landed / min
5.1
48%
striking accuracy
50%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
55%
striking defence
58%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
29%
takedown accuracy
43%
56%
takedown defence
48%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CD
Cappers Direct picks Caio Borralho VALUE
“better value at Caio Borralho by submission you Caio Borralho but I'll do by arm triangle”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“give me Kyle but I ho I think he's gonna control him”
$1.27
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Caio Borralho VALUE
“I'm going with the Caio Borralho higher uh 53.55 fantasy points I think it gets it here I think he wrestles I think he hits uh those takedowns I think he gets a submission here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Caio Borralho
“No direct quote; inferred from card predictions”
WP
We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“No direct quote; inferred from card predictions”
WP
We Want Picks picks Caio Borralho VALUE
“so Caio Borralho confident pick for me”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Borralho17-2
W
Ridder
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Sep '25
W
Cannonier
Aug '24
W
Craig
May '24
W
Magomedov
Nov '23
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Barriault
Feb '26
W
Meerschaert
Aug '25
W
Dumas
Apr '25
L
Magomedov
Aug '24