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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buday v Collier Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Buday 8
4 Collier
HMGUPD pick Buday
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buday 14-2 VS 13-10 Collier
6'4" height —
266 lb weight —
77" reach —
34 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 5.8
53% striking accuracy 44%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.1
52% striking defence 50%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
25% takedown accuracy 33%
100% takedown defence 67%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Martin Buday VALUE “obviously I'm going obviously I'm going with day as well”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Martin Buday “I'm picking Martin bouday to pull this one off” $1.77
KU Kunath picks Martin Buday VALUE “our first value play is Martin Buday Buday”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Jake Collier “I'm picking Martin birthday all day bro”
HB Half The Battle picks Martin Buday “I'll go Martin Martin Buday bouday” $1.91
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Martin Buday VALUE “give me Martin Buday kind of a low own play here I don't hate him at 8 000”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Martin Buday “if I had to make a pick gun to the Head I'm gonna side with my boo Day based on cardio if Jake Collier gets tired I think mine booday is just gonna kandel work him”
KU Kunath picks Martin Buday “I think that Martin Buday wins”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Martin Buday VALUE “I really like Martin Buday in this fight” $2.90
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Martin Buday “I'll pick buddy though” $2.00
PR Premium-Picks picks Martin Buday “I'm going to go with Martin Buday here”
AM Artem MMA picks Jake Collier “Jake Collier showed absolutely terrible cardio on his last fight ... Martin Buday he's going to be bigger in the match up”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buday14-2
W Buchecha Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Satybaldiev Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Arlovski Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R2 Dec '23
W Parisian Submission · R1 Aug '23
Collier13-10
L Usman Decision · R3 Sep '23
L Buday Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Barnett KO/TKO · R2 Sep '22
L Arlovski Decision · R3 Apr '22
W Sherman Submission · R1 Jan '22