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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Durden v Johnson Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Durden 5
6 Johnson
MAPDW pick Durden
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1 VS 19-8 Johnson
5'7" height 5'9"
125 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 70"
35 age 35
Southpaw stance Switch
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.2
50% striking accuracy 47%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
50% striking defence 54%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
50% takedown accuracy 66%
73% takedown defence 55%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “Cody Cody Durden is my pick to win” $2.20
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “Cody Durden is going to win and I think he's going to win a unanimous decision” $2.17
KU Kunath picks Charles Johnson VALUE “I'm grabbing Charles Charles Johnson Charles Johnson”
SH Sherdog.com picks Charles Johnson VALUE “Charles Charles Johnson Cody Durden Charles Johnson is the underdog Cardinal now and plus uh plus 120. I like him there” $2.20
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I like Cody Durden this week as a live dog for that wrestling upside”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Charles Johnson “my prediction with this match up is going to be Charles Johnson to win the fight purely based on having better striking and I also think layering the fire even if it's like 1-1 I think Charles Johnson's probably gonna do better later on and that's based on like cardio see how my predictions gonna be CJ to win this match up”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Durden VALUE “lock of the week for EVENT_DETAILS is going to be Cody Durden Durden”
KU Kunath picks Charles Johnson “I did pick Charles Johnson to win”
KU Kunath picks Cody Durden “my pick is Cody”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Charles Johnson “I'm going Johnson” $2.57
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm going Cody Durden by unanimous decision” $2.50
PR Premium-Picks picks Cody Durden VALUE “I think Cody Durden could grind Charles Charles Johnson out”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W Filho Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Nascimento Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ochoa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Van Decision · R3 Dec '24
Johnson19-8
L Almabayev Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Perez KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Kavanagh KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
L Temirov Decision · R3 Mar '25