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Xiaonan vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Xiaonan vs DernMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
RB
FT
Brown vs TrinaldoMain Card · Welterweight
RB
TJ
Barcelos vs JonesMain Card · Bantamweight
SY
DS
Yusuff vs ShainisMain Card · Featherweight
MD
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Davis vs BorshchevMain Card · Lightweight
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Santos vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Latifi vs OleinikPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Silva vs RonsonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Allen vs JotkoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Chandler vs StoliarenkoPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Cannetti vs CostaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Prophecy read
Xiaonan v Dern
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Xiaonan 19-4
VS
14-5 Dern
5'5"
height
5'4"
116 lb
weight
116 lb
63"
reach
63"
37
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
3.4
45%
striking accuracy
39%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
60%
striking defence
51%
0.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
73%
takedown accuracy
16%
63%
takedown defence
30%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Mackenzie Dern
“I like MacKenzie to win this fight I think Mackenzie Dern wins”
We Want Picks picks Mackenzie Dern
“I like MacKenzie to win this fight I think Mackenzie Dern wins”
WP
We Want Picks picks Yan Xiaonan
“she should be able to outstrike Mackenzie”
We Want Picks picks Yan Xiaonan
“she should be able to outstrike Mackenzie”
WP
We Want Picks picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“I picked Yan Xiaonan as my lock of the week because she's the better striker”
We Want Picks picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“I picked Yan Xiaonan as my lock of the week because she's the better striker”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“Mackenzie Dern doing of course is a supreme Grappler she's got excellent grappling skills but she does need the fight to be on the floor ... I think if Yan Xiaonan hits the floor she's gonna get subbed I think if Mackenzie Dern done is too adamant to try and get this to the floor and neglects her striking I think Yan Xiaonan now might be able to light her up ... so Mackenzie Dern doing 20 and 20 12 and 2 uh Yan Xiaonan Nani's 13-3 uh and with one no contest slight one inch height Advantage for yanchan but the reach is the same much of our muchness both very similar um uh physiologically but this fighting style is what's so different so striking output um Mackenzie Dern doing he's coming in at 3.1 Yan Xiaonan and higher at 5.6 higher striking accuracy as well for Yan Chao Nan better striking defense for yanchao Nan less strikes absorbed per minute I mean you can literally see how it's all swaying to in into One Direction um Mackenzie Dern doing striking defense is 54 her striking accuracy is 35 a lot of the time she's only throwing punches to close the distance though so she can get her hands on her opponent”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“Mackenzie Dern doing of course is a supreme Grappler she's got excellent grappling skills but she does need the fight to be on the floor ... I think if Yan Xiaonan hits the floor she's gonna get subbed I think if Mackenzie Dern done is too adamant to try and get this to the floor and neglects her striking I think Yan Xiaonan now might be able to light her up ... so Mackenzie Dern doing 20 and 20 12 and 2 uh Yan Xiaonan Nani's 13-3 uh and with one no contest slight one inch height Advantage for yanchan but the reach is the same much of our muchness both very similar um uh physiologically but this fighting style is what's so different so striking output um Mackenzie Dern doing he's coming in at 3.1 Yan Xiaonan and higher at 5.6 higher striking accuracy as well for Yan Chao Nan better striking defense for yanchao Nan less strikes absorbed per minute I mean you can literally see how it's all swaying to in into One Direction um Mackenzie Dern doing striking defense is 54 her striking accuracy is 35 a lot of the time she's only throwing punches to close the distance though so she can get her hands on her opponent”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“I'm gonna surprise and I'm gonna go against uh Jiu Jitsu world and especially like on plus 195 you know”
$2.95
101MMA Clinic picks Yan Xiaonan VALUE
“I'm gonna surprise and I'm gonna go against uh Jiu Jitsu world and especially like on plus 195 you know”
$2.95
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Mackenzie Dern
“I'm going during though”
101MMA Clinic picks Mackenzie Dern
“I'm going during though”
HB
Half The Battle picks Mackenzie Dern
“I heavily favor or I heavily favored during on the ground”
$1.44
Half The Battle picks Mackenzie Dern
“I heavily favor or I heavily favored during on the ground”
$1.44
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Yan Xiaonan
“N/A”
Santino DeFranco picks Yan Xiaonan
“N/A”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“we have Mackenzie Dern taking on Yan Xiaonan”
Walk The Line MMA picks Mackenzie Dern VALUE
“we have Mackenzie Dern taking on Yan Xiaonan”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Yan Xiaonan
“Mackenzie Dern taking on Yan Xiaonan”
Walk The Line MMA picks Yan Xiaonan
“Mackenzie Dern taking on Yan Xiaonan”
TF
The ICE Files picks Yan Xiaonan
“I'm going with MacKenzie Dern on this one”
The ICE Files picks Yan Xiaonan
“I'm going with MacKenzie Dern on this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Xiaonan19-4
L
Jandiroba
Apr '25
W
Ricci
Nov '24
L
Weili
Apr '24
W
Andrade
May '23
W
Dern
Oct '22
Dern14-5
W
Jandiroba
Oct '25
W
Ribas
Jan '25
W
Godinez
Aug '24
L
Lemos
Feb '24
L
Andrade
Nov '23