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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Allen v Jotko
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Allen 26-7
VS
24-6 Jotko
6'2"
height
—
186 lb
weight
—
75"
reach
—
30
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.9
strikes landed / min
3.0
36%
striking accuracy
42%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.2
53%
striking defence
57%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
62%
takedown accuracy
39%
53%
takedown defence
82%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I'm picking Christoph dratco I've been on them throughout the week I think he's the better technical fighter than Brendan Allen”
$2.10
MMA EXPERTS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I'm picking Christoph dratco I've been on them throughout the week I think he's the better technical fighter than Brendan Allen”
$2.10
WP
We Want Picks picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I think jotco wins”
We Want Picks picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I think jotco wins”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“give me Joko to win and when Krzysztof Jotko does Win It Is by decision I think”
$1.76
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“give me Joko to win and when Krzysztof Jotko does Win It Is by decision I think”
$1.76
WP
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen
“lack of the week for USC Vegas 61 is quite simply going to be Brandon Allen listen against Krzysztof Jotko he has is not going to be the better Striker he should have the grappling but I don't even know if he's going to be able to get the takedowns in this fight so it seems dumb to pick Brennan out but just for some reason it feels like obviously if the fight Finds Its way to the ground he should have a grappling Advantage he's gonna have the power Advantage but the thing that I love the most when I can't pick a better striker in a mostly striking matchup which I'm struggling on this card to find I like to pick people that are facing people that aren't very dangerous and Krzysztof Jotko unfortunately for him is not a super super dangerous guy a lot of decisions not a ton of power in his hands and when he was fighting Gerald Misha Gerald measure was Landing some good shots on jako if Brendan Allen is able to land the same type of strikes that Gerald mushar was landing on Krzysztof Jotko I think he's able to put Krzysztof Jotko away baby hurt me enough to get into those grappling exchanges where Brendan Allen really really excels”
We Want Picks picks Brendan Allen
“lack of the week for USC Vegas 61 is quite simply going to be Brandon Allen listen against Krzysztof Jotko he has is not going to be the better Striker he should have the grappling but I don't even know if he's going to be able to get the takedowns in this fight so it seems dumb to pick Brennan out but just for some reason it feels like obviously if the fight Finds Its way to the ground he should have a grappling Advantage he's gonna have the power Advantage but the thing that I love the most when I can't pick a better striker in a mostly striking matchup which I'm struggling on this card to find I like to pick people that are facing people that aren't very dangerous and Krzysztof Jotko unfortunately for him is not a super super dangerous guy a lot of decisions not a ton of power in his hands and when he was fighting Gerald Misha Gerald measure was Landing some good shots on jako if Brendan Allen is able to land the same type of strikes that Gerald mushar was landing on Krzysztof Jotko I think he's able to put Krzysztof Jotko away baby hurt me enough to get into those grappling exchanges where Brendan Allen really really excels”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“my pick would be Krzysztof Jotko”
Santino DeFranco picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“my pick would be Krzysztof Jotko”
WP
We Want Picks picks Krzysztof Jotko
“Christoph Jocko wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Krzysztof Jotko
“Christoph Jocko wins this fight”
TF
The ICE Files picks Krzysztof Jotko
“I'm slightly leaning towards Christoph Jocko”
The ICE Files picks Krzysztof Jotko
“I'm slightly leaning towards Christoph Jocko”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I'm gonna side with all in Brendan Allen to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“I'm gonna side with all in Brendan Allen to win this match up”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I think Krzysztof Jotko's gonna win... I think Draco gets a win by decision”
$1.89
MMA EXPERTS picks Krzysztof Jotko VALUE
“I think Krzysztof Jotko's gonna win... I think Draco gets a win by decision”
$1.89
GP
Greedo Plays picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“that's why I'm gonna take Brad now here at plus money plus 115 before Brad now and come back at you for minus 135 for Christophe Jocko I'm gonna take the underdog in this fight and Bren now and I think he's able to pick up his eighth win in the UFC”
Greedo Plays picks Brendan Allen VALUE
“that's why I'm gonna take Brad now here at plus money plus 115 before Brad now and come back at you for minus 135 for Christophe Jocko I'm gonna take the underdog in this fight and Bren now and I think he's able to pick up his eighth win in the UFC”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Allen26-7
W
Shahbazyan
Jun '26
W
Ridder
Oct '25
W
Vettori
Jul '25
L
Hernandez
Feb '25
L
Imavov
Sep '24
Jotko24-6
L
Allen
Oct '22
W
Meerschaert
Apr '22
W
Cirkunov
Oct '21
L
Strickland
May '21
W
Anders
May '20