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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Cannetti v Costa Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Cannetti 1
3 Costa
1 pick Cannetti
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cannetti 10-8 VS 6-4 Costa
5'6" height —
135 lb weight —
68" reach —
46 age 31
Southpaw stance Switch
3.4 strikes landed / min 6.5
55% striking accuracy 46%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 7.6
51% striking defence 58%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
55% takedown accuracy 0%
64% takedown defence 50%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Costa “I think Randy Costa wins”
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Costa VALUE “Randy Randy Costa should be more than prepared to handle that pressure and be much more skilled” $1.33
SD Santino DeFranco picks Randy Costa VALUE “I like Randy Costa here”
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Costa “I am going to go with Randy Costa Guido has not shown his age”
1M 138 MMA picks Guido Cannetti VALUE “Randy cost us a pick” $1.33
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Costa “I'm gonna go with Randy”
AM Artem MMA picks Randy Costa “Costa really should have this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Guido Cannetti “i'm gonna go with youth in Randy Costa”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cannetti10-8
L Bautista Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Costa Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Moutinho KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L Martinez Decision · R3 Aug '21
L Batgerel KO/TKO · R1 Mar '20
Costa6-4
L Cannetti Submission · R1 Oct '22
L Kelley KO/TKO · R2 Dec '21
L Yañez KO/TKO · R2 Jul '21
W Newson KO/TKO · R1 Sep '20
W Salmon KO/TKO · R1 Oct '19