MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brown v Trinaldo Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Brown 8
0 Trinaldo
M1GUAT pick Brown
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brown 20-7 VS 28-9 Trinaldo
6'3" height 5'9"
171 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 70"
35 age 47
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 3.1
47% striking accuracy 45%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
54% striking defence 60%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
39% takedown accuracy 42%
70% takedown defence 60%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Randy Brown VALUE “I'm picking Randy Brown and Francisco Trinaldo the Ageless trinaldo but listen Brown should pick him apart from the outside and win this fight dominantly by a decision” $1.31
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Randy Brown “I'm going Randy Brown on with this one” $1.32
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Brown “I see Randy winning”
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Brown VALUE “Randy Brown who I'm very very confident wins”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Randy Brown “I'm going Randy round with this one” $1.32
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Francisco Trinaldo “I think that Tabitha Richie wins this fight via decision” $1.45
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Randy Brown VALUE “I'm gonna go latifi” $1.57
TF The ICE Files picks Randy Brown “I'm going with the 32 year old Randy Brown”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Randy Brown VALUE “I'm gonna side with rude by Randy Brown to just outclass Francisco”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Randy Brown “I'm gonna pick Randy Brown in this fight because tornado's 44 and brown is 100 getting better... I'll pick Brown by decision” $1.33
GP Greedo Plays picks Randy Brown “I'm gonna take the rude boy Randy Brown to win this fight again there's a reason he's a three to one favor in this fight he wouldn't be a three to one favorite for no reason Brown is going to win this one he's going to outbox Ronaldo he's going to out kickbox Francisco giornado and Randy Brown's gonna pick pick up the victory here in this co-main event he's got more power he's quicker round wins it by unanimous decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Randy Brown “I gotta go with Maxim here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brown20-7
L Holland Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Bonfim KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Dalby KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Battle Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Santos Decision · R3 Jun '24
Trinaldo28-9
L Brown Decision · R3 Oct '22
W Roberts Decision · R3 May '22
W Grant Decision · R3 Oct '21
L Salikhov Decision · R3 Jun '21
W Herbert KO/TKO · R3 Jul '20