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Rodriguez vs JingliangMain Card · Catchweight
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Aldana vs ChiassonMain Card · Catchweight
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Walker vs CuțelabaMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Erosa vs DawoduPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Almeida vs TurkaljPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Tiuliulin vs PickettPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Chimaev v Holland
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Chimaev 15-0
VS
28-15 Holland
6'2"
height
6'3"
183 lb
weight
170 lb
75"
reach
81"
32
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.4
strikes landed / min
4.2
58%
striking accuracy
49%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
41%
striking defence
50%
4.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
46%
takedown accuracy
38%
100%
takedown defence
54%
2.8
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I'm picking Kevin Holland I'm I'm doing it man I'm rolling with big mouth it's a five round fight.”
MMA Prophecy picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I'm picking Kevin Holland I'm I'm doing it man I'm rolling with big mouth it's a five round fight.”
TF
The ICE Files picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“I think uh Hamza should get it done”
The ICE Files picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“I think uh Hamza should get it done”
WP
We Want Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“shamai has the pick Khamzat Chimaev should win”
$97.00
We Want Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“shamai has the pick Khamzat Chimaev should win”
$97.00
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Khamzat Chimaev
“great way to sell Khamzat Chimaev of the villain is the pick for the win i think he beNate Diaz kevin Kevin Holland how does he get it done if you're talking about for a stock kotko i think is a bit necessary in this matchup i think it has to happen see we have five fives which is so [ __ ] weird to me right this matchup now five fives Khamzat Chimaev is the pick how does the method of victory come together i'm gonna lean it ever so slightly towarNate Diaz tko but i wouldn't be shocked if Kevin Holland goes to full five i'll say Khamzat Chimaev kotko late three or four”
$1.20
MMA EXPERTS picks Khamzat Chimaev
“great way to sell Khamzat Chimaev of the villain is the pick for the win i think he beNate Diaz kevin Kevin Holland how does he get it done if you're talking about for a stock kotko i think is a bit necessary in this matchup i think it has to happen see we have five fives which is so [ __ ] weird to me right this matchup now five fives Khamzat Chimaev is the pick how does the method of victory come together i'm gonna lean it ever so slightly towarNate Diaz tko but i wouldn't be shocked if Kevin Holland goes to full five i'll say Khamzat Chimaev kotko late three or four”
$1.20
1M
138 MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“Khamzat Chimaev wins that fight probably 10 out of 10 times”
138 MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev VALUE
“Khamzat Chimaev wins that fight probably 10 out of 10 times”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“i do like Kevin Holland to get the job done”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“i do like Kevin Holland to get the job done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khamzat Chimaev
“if it did yes Khamzat Chimaev of 9600 he's going to be my most exposed fighter”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khamzat Chimaev
“if it did yes Khamzat Chimaev of 9600 he's going to be my most exposed fighter”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland
“i like Kevin Holland to win”
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland
“i like Kevin Holland to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev
“shimaya's gonna win”
We Want Picks picks Khamzat Chimaev
“shimaya's gonna win”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Kevin Holland
“Kevin Holland is the rightful favorite somebody like Kevin Holland or some of the Kevin Holland out of there um i think you know in the past we've seen Kevin Holland have a again close and Kevin Holland's the pick”
Dynes Sports picks Kevin Holland
“Kevin Holland is the rightful favorite somebody like Kevin Holland or some of the Kevin Holland out of there um i think you know in the past we've seen Kevin Holland have a again close and Kevin Holland's the pick”
KU
Kunath picks Khamzat Chimaev
“i think hamza chamaya finds a finish in the first or second round i don't care about how durable Nate Diaz is”
Kunath picks Khamzat Chimaev
“i think hamza chamaya finds a finish in the first or second round i don't care about how durable Nate Diaz is”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Kevin Holland
“I love Kevin Holland but yeah I don't know actually yeah we're doing it I'm rolling with Daniel Rodriguez”
MMA Prophecy picks Kevin Holland
“I love Kevin Holland but yeah I don't know actually yeah we're doing it I'm rolling with Daniel Rodriguez”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Chimaev15-0
L
Strickland
May '26
W
Plessis
Aug '25
W
Whittaker
Oct '24
W
Usman
Oct '23
W
Holland
Sep '22
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25