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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Aldana v Chiasson
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aldana 15-8
VS
11-6 Chiasson
5'9"
height
5'11"
136 lb
weight
135 lb
69"
reach
72"
38
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.2
strikes landed / min
4.2
39%
striking accuracy
58%
6.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
56%
striking defence
56%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
50%
takedown accuracy
57%
77%
takedown defence
69%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i think macy gets it done”
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i think macy gets it done”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Irene Aldana
“you got to go out donna come on come on you have to go donna she's got the better hanNate Diaz more finishing ability if i say someone's getting knocked out here you would say it's probably cheNate Diaz on getting slipped that's the only thing you knew about the fight you'd assume maldonado wins by knockout she's the pick i like her boxing a lot i like her clinch defense i think she's a solid fighter macy chaston's a tall girl and she's tricky but i don't think she'll get control of Irene Aldana here the official pick is gonna be aldana via decision”
$1.62
MMA EXPERTS picks Irene Aldana
“you got to go out donna come on come on you have to go donna she's got the better hanNate Diaz more finishing ability if i say someone's getting knocked out here you would say it's probably cheNate Diaz on getting slipped that's the only thing you knew about the fight you'd assume maldonado wins by knockout she's the pick i like her boxing a lot i like her clinch defense i think she's a solid fighter macy chaston's a tall girl and she's tricky but i don't think she'll get control of Irene Aldana here the official pick is gonna be aldana via decision”
$1.62
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i actually really like Irene Aldana to win”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i actually really like Irene Aldana to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i think Macy Chiasson gets it done”
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“i think Macy Chiasson gets it done”
WP
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“while i think Macy Chiasson wins Irene Aldana”
We Want Picks picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“while i think Macy Chiasson wins Irene Aldana”
KU
Kunath picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i like Irene Aldana with the hand speed the power that she has the striking advantage that she's gonna have in this matchup”
Kunath picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i like Irene Aldana with the hand speed the power that she has the striking advantage that she's gonna have in this matchup”
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Irene Aldana
“I've been dreading this one we've got a catch me fight with Kevin Holland versus Daniel Rodriguez”
MMA Prophecy picks Irene Aldana
“I've been dreading this one we've got a catch me fight with Kevin Holland versus Daniel Rodriguez”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i'm going for uh tom breeze over in EVENT_DETAILS uh he's minus 163 and i'm going for him to beat damian yanukovsky”
$1.61
Sherdog.com picks Irene Aldana VALUE
“i'm going for uh tom breeze over in EVENT_DETAILS uh he's minus 163 and i'm going for him to beat damian yanukovsky”
$1.61
HB
Half The Battle picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“you can make a case for macy with that physicality”
$2.50
Half The Battle picks Macy Chiasson VALUE
“you can make a case for macy with that physicality”
$2.50
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aldana15-8
L
Dumont
Sep '24
W
Rosa
Dec '23
L
Nunes
Jun '23
W
Chiasson
Sep '22
W
Kunitskaya
Jul '21
Chiasson11-6
L
Pérez
Feb '26
L
Santos
Oct '25
L
Vieira
May '25
W
Silva
Jun '24
W
Kianzad
Mar '24