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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodriguez v Jingliang Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Rodriguez 3
7 Jingliang
HGU pick Rodriguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodriguez 18-5 VS 19-9 Jingliang
6'1" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 72"
39 age 38
Southpaw stance Orthodox
7.5 strikes landed / min 4.5
49% striking accuracy 42%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
58% striking defence 56%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
54% takedown accuracy 41%
57% takedown defence 60%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks Li Jingliang VALUE “I'm worried about cheerleading catch and pick it with a nasty right hook ... so yeah roll him and NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 pick it to get a win in that steal.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Daniel Rodriguez “I would have to side with Daniel Rodriguez to win this match up”
WP We Want Picks picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “i think Daniel Rodriguez wins this matchup” $76.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Li Jingliang “i gotta pick lee i gotta stick with Li Jingliang guys i picked him to win against t Tony Ferguson i'm gonna pick them to win here i'm actually gonna lean it by a decision because i gotta respect the stand up game this is not an easy fight though for either i think uh the Li Jingliang power speed and explosiveness is a big difference maker i'm gonna ride with Li Jingliang to win but i am gonna say decision” $1.69
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Li Jingliang VALUE “let me stay with Li Jingliang i already put money on him”
1M 138 MMA picks Daniel Rodriguez “if i have to pick all signs say Daniel Rodriguez”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Li Jingliang “you are picking the Li Jingliang in here Li Jingliang yeah Li Jingliang here” $1.33
WP We Want Picks picks Li Jingliang “i think ching lang gets it done”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Daniel Rodriguez “Daniel Rodriguez is a Bible Holland's Got the higher Advantage party reach”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Li Jingliang “I see a legion the young getting an easy one here the lead is going to be the more powerful Guy this is a 170. Tony”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Li Jingliang VALUE “you are picking the Li Jingliang in here Li Jingliang yeah” $1.33
HB Half The Battle picks Daniel Rodriguez VALUE “i don't fault you for it but i i sl look it's one of those things where pre-tape i wanted to bet Daniel Rodriguez” $2.65
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodriguez18-5
W Holland Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 May '25
W Morono Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Gastelum Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Garry KO/TKO · R1 May '23
Jingliang19-9
L Prates KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Sep '22
W Salikhov KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
L Chimaev Submission · R1 Oct '21
W Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '21