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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Costa v Rockhold
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Costa 0-0
VS
16-6 Rockhold
6'1"
height
6'3"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
77"
35
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.2
strikes landed / min
4.1
58%
striking accuracy
49%
6.6
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
49%
striking defence
53%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
75%
takedown accuracy
29%
80%
takedown defence
65%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“i would maybe go with rockhold you know and expect like an upset you know i think he can like if he managed to go to that wrestling exchanges and get Paulo Costa tired and put him on his back i i think he can we can see the victory”
$3.85
101MMA Clinic picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“i would maybe go with rockhold you know and expect like an upset you know i think he can like if he managed to go to that wrestling exchanges and get Paulo Costa tired and put him on his back i i think he can we can see the victory”
$3.85
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“it's putting Paulo Costa minus 500. oh my goodness and it took Luke Rockhold”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“it's putting Paulo Costa minus 500. oh my goodness and it took Luke Rockhold”
WP
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“i think he absolutely smokes Luke Rockhold”
We Want Picks picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“i think he absolutely smokes Luke Rockhold”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Paulo Costa
“i would think that his brain has healed up quite well”
MMA EXPERTS picks Paulo Costa
“i would think that his brain has healed up quite well”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“i think rockhold's got a really underrated like uh grappling game in general”
MMA EXPERTS picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“i think rockhold's got a really underrated like uh grappling game in general”
OM
One On One | MMA picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“I'm gonna get into the the tale of tape on these two ... I am gonna get into the the tale of tape on these two sorry i'm kind of belaboring it but uh if you have not seen paul NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 in the lead up to this fight go head over to his instagram you know ... both of them are in a need to like go out there make a statement so let's take a look at the numbers on one side we've got Paulo Costa NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 who is 13-2 overall NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Luke Rockhold 16 and five”
One On One | MMA picks Luke Rockhold VALUE
“I'm gonna get into the the tale of tape on these two ... I am gonna get into the the tale of tape on these two sorry i'm kind of belaboring it but uh if you have not seen paul NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 in the lead up to this fight go head over to his instagram you know ... both of them are in a need to like go out there make a statement so let's take a look at the numbers on one side we've got Paulo Costa NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 who is 13-2 overall NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Luke Rockhold 16 and five”
1M
138 MMA picks Paulo Costa
“my pick for this one I'm taking Costa I don't think that Luke Rockhold could take a shot anymore I think Costa knocks him out”
138 MMA picks Paulo Costa
“my pick for this one I'm taking Costa I don't think that Luke Rockhold could take a shot anymore I think Costa knocks him out”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Luke Rockhold
“he fought against Luke Rockhold so he was only out for like wow what's that like ten months”
Sherdog.com picks Luke Rockhold
“he fought against Luke Rockhold so he was only out for like wow what's that like ten months”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“minus 135 for sophie and bakaju over at EVENT_DETAILS”
$1.74
Sherdog.com picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“minus 135 for sophie and bakaju over at EVENT_DETAILS”
$1.74
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Costa0-0
W
Murzakanov
Apr '26
W
Kopylov
Jul '25
L
Strickland
Jun '24
L
Whittaker
Feb '24
W
Rockhold
Aug '22
Rockhold16-6
L
Costa
Aug '22
L
Błachowicz
Jul '19
L
Romero
Feb '18
W
Branch
Sep '17
L
Bisping
Jun '16