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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Loosa v Fletcher
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Loosa 10-4
VS
10-3 Fletcher
5'10"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
74"
reach
—
33
age
29
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.6
strikes landed / min
3.4
44%
striking accuracy
49%
6.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
53%
striking defence
46%
2.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
38%
takedown accuracy
35%
83%
takedown defence
33%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“i like the chances for Ange Loosa to get his hand raised”
$2.38
MMA EXPERTS picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“i like the chances for Ange Loosa to get his hand raised”
$2.38
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i think aj wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i think aj wins this fight”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“i really like uh lusa here he's a dog um i think he will because just stuff is yeah he's plus 135 man i i think he does everything relatively well he's got a good reach his wrestling offensive and defensive is good um and i just don't think that fletcher is gonna present those crazy problems”
$2.35
Santino DeFranco picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“i really like uh lusa here he's a dog um i think he will because just stuff is yeah he's plus 135 man i i think he does everything relatively well he's got a good reach his wrestling offensive and defensive is good um and i just don't think that fletcher is gonna present those crazy problems”
$2.35
1M
138 MMA picks A.J. Fletcher
“I do think Fletcher is going to get this one done so I'll take him to get the win not confident in this fight whatsoever but I will take Fletcher”
138 MMA picks A.J. Fletcher
“I do think Fletcher is going to get this one done so I'll take him to get the win not confident in this fight whatsoever but I will take Fletcher”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks A.J. Fletcher
“i'm leaning towards A.J. Fletcher getting the job done via decision”
$1.65
Walk The Line MMA picks A.J. Fletcher
“i'm leaning towards A.J. Fletcher getting the job done via decision”
$1.65
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks A.J. Fletcher
“I would have to take A.J. Fletcher to win this fight against Ange Loosa”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks A.J. Fletcher
“I would have to take A.J. Fletcher to win this fight against Ange Loosa”
GP
Greedo Plays picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i'm going to go with A.J. Fletcher here i'm going to i'm going to do it i think fletcher is able to find the takedown early”
Greedo Plays picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i'm going to go with A.J. Fletcher here i'm going to i'm going to do it i think fletcher is able to find the takedown early”
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i think he stays disciplined and he gets his first official ufc i'm grabbing uh A.J. Fletcher at minus 150”
$1.67
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i think he stays disciplined and he gets his first official ufc i'm grabbing uh A.J. Fletcher at minus 150”
$1.67
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“I picked Ange Loosa to win this”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Ange Loosa VALUE
“I picked Ange Loosa to win this”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Loosa10-4
L
Rowe
Jun '25
L
Bonfim
Jul '24
W
McKee
Sep '23
W
Fletcher
Aug '22
L
Lazzez
Apr '22
Fletcher10-3
W
Gorimbo
Feb '23
L
Loosa
Aug '22
L
Semelsberger
Mar '22