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Edwards vs UsmanMain Card · Welterweight
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Dvalishvili vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
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Pudilová vs YananMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Pedro vs HunsuckerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Tybura vs RomanovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Albazi vs FigueiredoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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Qileng vs PerrinEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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KU
Edwards vs UsmanMain Card · Welterweight
PC
LR
Costa vs RockholdMain Card · Middleweight
MD
JA
Dvalishvili vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
LP
WY
Pudilová vs YananMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
TP
HH
Pedro vs HunsuckerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MT
AR
Tybura vs RomanovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JG
LS
Gordon vs SantosPreliminary Card · Lightweight
SW
LS
Woodson vs SaldañaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
AL
AF
Loosa vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight
AA
FF
Albazi vs FigueiredoEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
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JP
Qileng vs PerrinEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Altamirano vs LacerdaEarly Preliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dvalishvili v Aldo
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4
VS
32-9 Aldo
5'6"
height
5'7"
135 lb
weight
143 lb
68"
reach
70"
35
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.3
strikes landed / min
3.6
39%
striking accuracy
46%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
60%
striking defence
60%
8.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
47%
takedown accuracy
53%
76%
takedown defence
92%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks José Aldo
“the aliens put José Aldo minus 300 so a strong lean to José Aldo and we're gonna skip it it took José Aldo”
$1.33
UFC GamblingAddicts picks José Aldo
“the aliens put José Aldo minus 300 so a strong lean to José Aldo and we're gonna skip it it took José Aldo”
$1.33
WP
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think Merab Dvalishvili wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think Merab Dvalishvili wins this fight”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Merab Dvalishvili
“i'm taking Merab Dvalishvili on the money line”
Dynes Sports picks Merab Dvalishvili
“i'm taking Merab Dvalishvili on the money line”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks José Aldo VALUE
“i'm kind of leading it looser to win a decision in this one”
MMA EXPERTS picks José Aldo VALUE
“i'm kind of leading it looser to win a decision in this one”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i like albazi as well”
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i like albazi as well”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think maverick wins this i think it's probably gonna be a decision but i i think it's gonna be you know probably a lot closer than people think and i think shayna young is tougher than people think but uh i like maverick here”
$1.15
Santino DeFranco picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think maverick wins this i think it's probably gonna be a decision but i i think it's gonna be you know probably a lot closer than people think and i think shayna young is tougher than people think but uh i like maverick here”
$1.15
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks José Aldo VALUE
“i can see him you know like this was the fight to be made in the welterweight division there's literally nothing else so you know mate Leon Edwards men haven't fun each other in a long time NOT_IN_ROSTER_13's gotten beat twice pretty recent he's got i wonder what's next for his men if he doesn't win that i'm really curious probably NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 no then why said it NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 wins against NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 they're going to make that fight oh [ __ ] don't duck humans it's either NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 but Kamaru Usman wants to go up to 205 which you know that's ridiculous i don't know about that [ __ ] it's weird i don't kind of think Kamaru Usman is crazy he's down some top three pound-for-pound fighters i don't put him above NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 but i do think that he is uh in a division that doesn't have as much like firepower as the other ones i don't know welterweight's kind of washed up he's already beat everybody there's nobody challenged now you guys are like no yeah i just think that there's nothing left for guzman in the welterweight division like really not at all if he wins this fight and then beats the wolf like i could see the guy being done and going to make movies like i don't blame him he's been just everybody like what more is there to prove you know so i don't know i don't really like this fight to be honest i think Leon Edwards is going to get dominated dude i think he may clip uh oozman like once but i just see pure dominance almost like a NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 approach in this one yeah same honestly i think the same [ __ ] to be honest we're all on the same page here and [ __ ] let me go through one more time morab NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus José Aldo me andrew bart we all got morab little j god José Aldo next one we all got paul closer by knockout and we all got who's been the main event that's right let's get it y'all stay tuned for the next episode tune in this saturday let's get it man let's get this bread and that's freezing upon us you said what football season the promise y'all i'm sure we're gonna have some fantasy football podcast yeah through the weeks as it's going on i know all of us are in the league oh yeah fun tune in let's get it man peace out y'all appreciate y'all like subscribe share peace”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks José Aldo VALUE
“i can see him you know like this was the fight to be made in the welterweight division there's literally nothing else so you know mate Leon Edwards men haven't fun each other in a long time NOT_IN_ROSTER_13's gotten beat twice pretty recent he's got i wonder what's next for his men if he doesn't win that i'm really curious probably NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 no then why said it NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 wins against NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 they're going to make that fight oh [ __ ] don't duck humans it's either NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 but Kamaru Usman wants to go up to 205 which you know that's ridiculous i don't know about that [ __ ] it's weird i don't kind of think Kamaru Usman is crazy he's down some top three pound-for-pound fighters i don't put him above NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 but i do think that he is uh in a division that doesn't have as much like firepower as the other ones i don't know welterweight's kind of washed up he's already beat everybody there's nobody challenged now you guys are like no yeah i just think that there's nothing left for guzman in the welterweight division like really not at all if he wins this fight and then beats the wolf like i could see the guy being done and going to make movies like i don't blame him he's been just everybody like what more is there to prove you know so i don't know i don't really like this fight to be honest i think Leon Edwards is going to get dominated dude i think he may clip uh oozman like once but i just see pure dominance almost like a NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 approach in this one yeah same honestly i think the same [ __ ] to be honest we're all on the same page here and [ __ ] let me go through one more time morab NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus José Aldo me andrew bart we all got morab little j god José Aldo next one we all got paul closer by knockout and we all got who's been the main event that's right let's get it y'all stay tuned for the next episode tune in this saturday let's get it man let's get this bread and that's freezing upon us you said what football season the promise y'all i'm sure we're gonna have some fantasy football podcast yeah through the weeks as it's going on i know all of us are in the league oh yeah fun tune in let's get it man peace out y'all appreciate y'all like subscribe share peace”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks José Aldo VALUE
“i want to see José Aldo get started round if it takes José Aldo to the put 20 bucks down on José Aldo”
WEIGHING IN picks José Aldo VALUE
“i want to see José Aldo get started round if it takes José Aldo to the put 20 bucks down on José Aldo”
SH
Sherdog.com picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo junior plus 115 to win straight up against mirabjash philly”
$2.15
Sherdog.com picks José Aldo VALUE
“José Aldo junior plus 115 to win straight up against mirabjash philly”
$2.15
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L
Yan
Dec '25
W
Sandhagen
Oct '25
W
O'Malley
Jun '25
W
Nurmagomedov
Jan '25
W
O'Malley
Sep '24
Aldo32-9
L
Zahabi
May '25
L
Bautista
Oct '24
W
Martinez
May '24
L
Dvalishvili
Aug '22
W
Font
Dec '21