MMA Prophecy
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UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Albazi v Figueiredo Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Albazi 10
0 Figueiredo
1MUSSA pick Albazi
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Albazi 17-2 VS 13-5-1 Figueiredo
5'5" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
68" reach 68"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.7 strikes landed / min 2.0
34% striking accuracy 61%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
61% striking defence 61%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
32% takedown accuracy 75%
50% takedown defence 76%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Amir Albazi “i am riding with a mural bazi” $1.23
WP We Want Picks picks Amir Albazi “i think albazi gets it done”
KU Kunath picks Amir Albazi “Amir Albazi”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Amir Albazi VALUE “i like albazi i think albazi i think he's really got it um not that Francisco Figueiredo is bad you know we talked about this last time i think Francisco Figueiredo is actually solid he's actually got pretty good striking he's decent everywhere but i think really the grappling is going to be the big the big deal here” $1.25
1M 138 MMA picks Amir Albazi “I'm still gonna go with the favorite here however these odds are way too steep for me”
SH Sherdog.com picks Amir Albazi VALUE “my flyer of the week is ryoji kudo to win straight up against bobby jenkins at plus 325” $4.25
TF The ICE Files picks Amir Albazi “so amir al-bazi should get it done easy”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Amir Albazi VALUE “give me Victor AltAmir Albaziano ultima moreno and i could see him getting a knockout in the second round” $1.50
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Amir Albazi “my pick and may our bossy to win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Amir Albazi VALUE “i like amir to win this a with a one-sided decision”
AM Artem MMA picks Amir Albazi “i'm definitely picking our bazi to win this one here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Albazi17-2
L Horiguchi Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Moreno Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Kara-France Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Costa KO/TKO · R3 Dec '22
W Figueiredo Submission · R1 Aug '22
Figueiredo13-5-1
L Albazi Submission · R1 Aug '22
W Lacerda Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Gordon Decision · R3 Jul '21
W Rivera Decision · R3 Jan '21