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Burgos vs JourdainMain Card · Featherweight
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Rodríguez vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight
AL
MW
Lemos vs WatersonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
LJ
MS
Jingliang vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
MS
SM
Schnell vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
SB
CJ
Burgos vs JourdainMain Card · Featherweight
LM
MT
Murphy vs TateMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
PS
DL
Soriano vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
JS
Simón vs ShorePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BA
HB
Algeo vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DJ
DJ
Jacoby vs JungPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
DS
DG
Stoltzfus vs GrantPreliminary Card · Middleweight
ED
JP
Ducote vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Burgos v Jourdain
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Burgos 15-3
VS
17-8-1 Jourdain
—
height
5'9"
—
weight
135 lb
—
reach
69"
35
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Switch
7.4
strikes landed / min
2.8
52%
striking accuracy
55%
6.8
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
56%
striking defence
58%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
44%
takedown accuracy
57%
91%
takedown defence
55%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Shane Burgos VALUE
“i do think shane wins”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Shane Burgos VALUE
“i think this fight's going to be a war i think the winner is going to score very well i love the volume of shane burgos”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Jourdain VALUE
“i think jorDa Un Jungn takes it on the cards man”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Shane Burgos VALUE
“Shane Burgos he's the favorite mine plus one uh four six for jortan”
$1.58
KU
Kunath picks Charles Jourdain VALUE
“the pick for me in this fight is Charles Jourdain most likely by decision but a knockout wouldn't shock me”
KU
Kunath picks Shane Burgos
“i think that Charles Jourdain can match that output”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Shane Burgos
“i'm gonna side with Shane Burgos to win this fight”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Charles Jourdain VALUE
“i gotta ride the way of Charles Jourdain by a decision i'm gonna go with him man”
$2.60
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Charles Jourdain VALUE
“i am going to pick the underdog i'm going to take charles jordan to get the job done here”
$2.60
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Burgos15-3
W
Jourdain
Jul '22
W
Quarantillo
Nov '21
L
Barboza
May '21
L
Emmett
Jun '20
W
Amirkhani
Nov '19
Jourdain17-8-1
W
Phillips
Apr '26
W
Grant
Oct '25
W
Henry
Nov '24
L
Silva
Jun '24
L
Woodson
Jan '24