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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Murphy v Tate
Women'S Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus9 picks · conf 27/99
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Murphy 16-6
VS
20-9 Tate
5'5"
height
5'6"
126 lb
weight
135 lb
67"
reach
65"
42
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.0
strikes landed / min
2.6
39%
striking accuracy
45%
5.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
55%
striking defence
51%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
25%
takedown accuracy
31%
69%
takedown defence
55%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“I'm going with Miesha Tate”
The MMA-Holes picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“I'm going with Miesha Tate”
WP
We Want Picks picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“if misha tay comes in here and grapples it's hers”
We Want Picks picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“if misha tay comes in here and grapples it's hers”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“misha Miesha Tate wins this fight is it by Su Mudaerjibmission or is it by decision”
$1.47
MMA EXPERTS picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“misha Miesha Tate wins this fight is it by Su Mudaerjibmission or is it by decision”
$1.47
HB
Half The Battle picks Miesha Tate
“i'll lean Miesha Tate but my boy john just made me laugh he said dan's voice got my wife pregnant pregnant dude i don't know if i should say this but you ever had someone hit you up like um and be like uh you ever had a chick hit you up and be like my husband wants to watch you uh do me like nah dawg so we we can't be doing all that we can't be doing all that anyways um random oh my god random malaccas that's a funny question i wish your name was random marcos that i would have thought that was funny but he said will you watch it on your next tape studying session or do you value your time i value my time man like i'm not going to be yeah let's uh let let's move on um yo what's up clint i appreciate you fam thanks for being here y'all smash that like button for me hit the subscribe button uh and let's talk about this fight between Punahele Soriano and Dalcha Lungiambula that's gonna be a [ __ ] great fight and maybe some other time we can do story time um with with daniel but uh next up in the middleweight division we got a matchup between hawaii's Punahele Soriano haley soriano he's eight and two taking on i gotta remember where from africa my boy's from okay congo's Dalcha Lungiambula who's 11 and four currently they got it Punahele Soriano haley minus 225 to come back on dodgers plus 190. so yeah yeah dominic let these [ __ ] know what time it is bro like 14 likes and 90 viewers come on man like y'all can talk all your [ __ ] in your discord chats and your group chats on twitter do that on your own time but here no one's gonna know you like the show no one's gonna know you're watching so do me that favor and smash that like button because it helps out the the algorithm they like to talk about and all that and we're just trying to grow this show grow this channel it's just me and y'all so let's [ __ ] do it man do me that favor and i promise i'll give you guys time stamps and all that [ __ ] and yeah i appreciate y'all anyways i was talking about Punahele Soriano and Dalcha Lungiambula so all right y'all remember how a couple weeks ago we had brad tavares fighting and i like to call brad tavares hawaiian bisping because like a lot of times when you know fights go to decision uh braz zavara's not always not and not last time brad tavares was really known i mean he's had a long career he's been the usc since 2010 was known for eking out those decisions and it was kind of like point fighting it up whereas yo y'all are distracting me with these [ __ ] funny ass questions um whereas Punahele Soriano haley i i like to call him if brad tavares is hawaiian bisming i like to call Punahele Soriano haley um hawaiian vitor destructive from that southpaw stance this guy's got that one hitter quitter power and when he smells blood he blitzes guys and he gets guys out of there man i mean the way he did dusko and that was back before you know dusko had taken a couple l's that's back when dusko was this undefeated guy brimming with confidence and the way Punahele Soriano haley knocked him out like god damn this kid can crack um and then he's also was he a d3 all-american something like that he's got he's got a wrestling background even that last fight against nick maximov like okay yeah on paper he lost the fight but like the fact that he was able to stuff all those takedowns i thought that was pretty impressive and then with dasha illusion bulla i'm a fan man i'm a fan look i know that is not the prettiest i know that you know technique-wise you know it might be this or it might look a certain way but like i love watching this guy fight because he swings big bombs man if you go back and you watch some of his fights um in the south african scene back when he was the double champ pull up his fight against alan bedo like i know you all been seeing alan bedo in the ufc like win these first rounds and kind of quit in the second round but like the way Dalcha Lungiambula knocked him out like the first exchange and just sent them you know crashing like a tree like god damn like Dalcha Lungiambula can crack man so i see this being an exciting fight like i i lean Punahele Soriano ish let me let me let me see where these odds open first of all i'm very curious what vegas was thinking oh [ __ ] vegas was saying minus 275. so vegas think poona is a lock i mean i lean Punahele Soriano but like i could see this being a toe-to-toe brawl where either guy can get clipped both guys hit extremely hard um and then doctor's last fight against brundage i thought he was looking pretty damn good until he shot that that sloppy shot and got his neck smashed against an opportunistic guy and shout out to brundage man two back to back first round finishes i i would have never called that so he's proved me wrong with both those fights so yeah uh i'd say Punahele Soriano is probably a bit more cleaner and real quick anybody here in vegas because was okay because i i think Punahele Soriano is that extreme couture but didn't datsu go to extreme couture for a little bit so are are these guys like familiar with each other like are Dalcha Lungiambula and Punahele Soriano like former sparring partners by chance someone that knows about uh that knows about you know the vegas scene let me know if that's the case i'm because that then i want to find out i want to get some inside info i want to find out what those sparring sessions were like between Dalcha Lungiambula and Punahele Soriano the burn said gore is on a permanent fade after the brundage fight i wouldn't say that i mean the guy's only four and two he's he's a baby in his career let him get to ten pro fights let him get some seasoning and i think that that gore can get better it's just that when you get rushed into the ufc as a three-and-oh fighter or whatever three-in-one four and whatever it was like he was just too early but the guy is a good athlete just needs some season and needs some experience that's why people go on the regional scene you know build up their records and then go to the ufc but ufc thought this guy was talented that's why they they you know signed him when they did but you can't make up for seasoning you can't make up for ring time so i think gorgeous needs some more experience more seasoning he'll come back better i mean the guy is very talente”
$1.45
Half The Battle picks Miesha Tate
“i'll lean Miesha Tate but my boy john just made me laugh he said dan's voice got my wife pregnant pregnant dude i don't know if i should say this but you ever had someone hit you up like um and be like uh you ever had a chick hit you up and be like my husband wants to watch you uh do me like nah dawg so we we can't be doing all that we can't be doing all that anyways um random oh my god random malaccas that's a funny question i wish your name was random marcos that i would have thought that was funny but he said will you watch it on your next tape studying session or do you value your time i value my time man like i'm not going to be yeah let's uh let let's move on um yo what's up clint i appreciate you fam thanks for being here y'all smash that like button for me hit the subscribe button uh and let's talk about this fight between Punahele Soriano and Dalcha Lungiambula that's gonna be a [ __ ] great fight and maybe some other time we can do story time um with with daniel but uh next up in the middleweight division we got a matchup between hawaii's Punahele Soriano haley soriano he's eight and two taking on i gotta remember where from africa my boy's from okay congo's Dalcha Lungiambula who's 11 and four currently they got it Punahele Soriano haley minus 225 to come back on dodgers plus 190. so yeah yeah dominic let these [ __ ] know what time it is bro like 14 likes and 90 viewers come on man like y'all can talk all your [ __ ] in your discord chats and your group chats on twitter do that on your own time but here no one's gonna know you like the show no one's gonna know you're watching so do me that favor and smash that like button because it helps out the the algorithm they like to talk about and all that and we're just trying to grow this show grow this channel it's just me and y'all so let's [ __ ] do it man do me that favor and i promise i'll give you guys time stamps and all that [ __ ] and yeah i appreciate y'all anyways i was talking about Punahele Soriano and Dalcha Lungiambula so all right y'all remember how a couple weeks ago we had brad tavares fighting and i like to call brad tavares hawaiian bisping because like a lot of times when you know fights go to decision uh braz zavara's not always not and not last time brad tavares was really known i mean he's had a long career he's been the usc since 2010 was known for eking out those decisions and it was kind of like point fighting it up whereas yo y'all are distracting me with these [ __ ] funny ass questions um whereas Punahele Soriano haley i i like to call him if brad tavares is hawaiian bisming i like to call Punahele Soriano haley um hawaiian vitor destructive from that southpaw stance this guy's got that one hitter quitter power and when he smells blood he blitzes guys and he gets guys out of there man i mean the way he did dusko and that was back before you know dusko had taken a couple l's that's back when dusko was this undefeated guy brimming with confidence and the way Punahele Soriano haley knocked him out like god damn this kid can crack um and then he's also was he a d3 all-american something like that he's got he's got a wrestling background even that last fight against nick maximov like okay yeah on paper he lost the fight but like the fact that he was able to stuff all those takedowns i thought that was pretty impressive and then with dasha illusion bulla i'm a fan man i'm a fan look i know that is not the prettiest i know that you know technique-wise you know it might be this or it might look a certain way but like i love watching this guy fight because he swings big bombs man if you go back and you watch some of his fights um in the south african scene back when he was the double champ pull up his fight against alan bedo like i know you all been seeing alan bedo in the ufc like win these first rounds and kind of quit in the second round but like the way Dalcha Lungiambula knocked him out like the first exchange and just sent them you know crashing like a tree like god damn like Dalcha Lungiambula can crack man so i see this being an exciting fight like i i lean Punahele Soriano ish let me let me let me see where these odds open first of all i'm very curious what vegas was thinking oh [ __ ] vegas was saying minus 275. so vegas think poona is a lock i mean i lean Punahele Soriano but like i could see this being a toe-to-toe brawl where either guy can get clipped both guys hit extremely hard um and then doctor's last fight against brundage i thought he was looking pretty damn good until he shot that that sloppy shot and got his neck smashed against an opportunistic guy and shout out to brundage man two back to back first round finishes i i would have never called that so he's proved me wrong with both those fights so yeah uh i'd say Punahele Soriano is probably a bit more cleaner and real quick anybody here in vegas because was okay because i i think Punahele Soriano is that extreme couture but didn't datsu go to extreme couture for a little bit so are are these guys like familiar with each other like are Dalcha Lungiambula and Punahele Soriano like former sparring partners by chance someone that knows about uh that knows about you know the vegas scene let me know if that's the case i'm because that then i want to find out i want to get some inside info i want to find out what those sparring sessions were like between Dalcha Lungiambula and Punahele Soriano the burn said gore is on a permanent fade after the brundage fight i wouldn't say that i mean the guy's only four and two he's he's a baby in his career let him get to ten pro fights let him get some seasoning and i think that that gore can get better it's just that when you get rushed into the ufc as a three-and-oh fighter or whatever three-in-one four and whatever it was like he was just too early but the guy is a good athlete just needs some season and needs some experience that's why people go on the regional scene you know build up their records and then go to the ufc but ufc thought this guy was talented that's why they they you know signed him when they did but you can't make up for seasoning you can't make up for ring time so i think gorgeous needs some more experience more seasoning he'll come back better i mean the guy is very talente”
$1.45
KU
Kunath picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“the pick for me is Miesha Tate”
Kunath picks Miesha Tate VALUE
“the pick for me is Miesha Tate”
KU
Kunath picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy just not a good enough skill set”
Kunath picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy just not a good enough skill set”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“i'm gonna make that shock prediction on Lauren Murphy”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Lauren Murphy VALUE
“i'm gonna make that shock prediction on Lauren Murphy”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Miesha Tate
“i believe it's going to be misha tate to win a decision is going to be the official pick”
$1.59
MMA EXPERTS picks Miesha Tate
“i believe it's going to be misha tate to win a decision is going to be the official pick”
$1.59
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy will definitely beat uh Miesha Tate positions”
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Lauren Murphy
“Lauren Murphy will definitely beat uh Miesha Tate positions”
SN
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Miesha Tate
“Lauren Murphy will definitely beat uh Miesha Tate”
SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Miesha Tate
“Lauren Murphy will definitely beat uh Miesha Tate”
AM
Artem MMA picks Miesha Tate
“give me misha and then when she won”
Artem MMA picks Miesha Tate
“give me misha and then when she won”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Murphy16-6
L
Moura
Jul '25
L
Andrade
Jan '23
W
Tate
Jul '22
L
Shevchenko
Sep '21
W
Calderwood
Jun '21
Tate20-9
L
Santos
May '25
W
Avila
Dec '23
L
Murphy
Jul '22
L
Vieira
Nov '21
W
Reneau
Jul '21