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Soriano vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Lemos vs WatersonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
LJ
MS
Jingliang vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
MS
SM
Schnell vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
SB
CJ
Burgos vs JourdainMain Card · Featherweight
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Murphy vs TateMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Soriano vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Simón vs ShorePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Algeo vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jacoby vs JungPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Stoltzfus vs GrantPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Ducote vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Soriano v Lungiambula
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Soriano 12-4
VS
11-6 Lungiambula
5'11"
height
5'8"
171 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
76"
33
age
38
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
3.1
60%
striking accuracy
45%
4.4
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
51%
striking defence
52%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
53%
takedown accuracy
45%
73%
takedown defence
77%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“i actually think Punahele Soriano if he does win um i either think it's going to be a three-round decision or i feel like he could potentially finish Dalcha Lungiambula in the very first round”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“i actually think Punahele Soriano if he does win um i either think it's going to be a three-round decision or i feel like he could potentially finish Dalcha Lungiambula in the very first round”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Punahele Soriano
“i think Punahele Soriano is going to win this”
Santino DeFranco picks Punahele Soriano
“i think Punahele Soriano is going to win this”
KU
Kunath picks Dalcha Lungiambula
“Dalcha Lungiambula no thank you”
Kunath picks Dalcha Lungiambula
“Dalcha Lungiambula no thank you”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“i'm gonna pick a fighter that i don't really pick and that's gonna be dalchalang guambula”
$3.20
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“i'm gonna pick a fighter that i don't really pick and that's gonna be dalchalang guambula”
$3.20
AM
Artem MMA picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“give me soriano finish in the second or third or a decision win”
Artem MMA picks Punahele Soriano VALUE
“give me soriano finish in the second or third or a decision win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Soriano12-4
W
Brahimaj
Feb '26
W
Veretennikov
Oct '25
W
Medić
Jan '25
W
Baeza
Jun '24
L
Stoltzfus
Dec '23
Lungiambula11-6
L
Shahbazyan
Dec '22
L
Soriano
Jul '22
L
Brundage
Mar '22
L
Barriault
Sep '21
W
Perez
Jan '21