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YR BO Rodríguez vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight AL MW Lemos vs WatersonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight LJ MS Jingliang vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight MS SM Schnell vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight SB CJ Burgos vs JourdainMain Card · Featherweight LM MT Murphy vs TateMain Card · Women'S Flyweight PS DL Soriano vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RS JS Simón vs ShorePreliminary Card · Bantamweight BA HB Algeo vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight DJ DJ Jacoby vs JungPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight DS DG Stoltzfus vs GrantPreliminary Card · Middleweight ED JP Ducote vs PennePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ducote v Penne Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Ducote 3
5 Penne
USW pick Ducote
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ducote 13-9 VS 14-9 Penne
5'11" height 5'5"
170 lb weight 115 lb
75" reach 67"
32 age 43
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.5 strikes landed / min 2.6
52% striking accuracy 33%
7.8 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
57% striking defence 45%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.3
14% takedown accuracy 18%
94% takedown defence 36%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jessica Penne VALUE “i'm still sticking with Jessica Penne as the official pick” $2.42
WP We Want Picks picks Emily Ducote “i do think emily wins”
WP We Want Picks picks Emily Ducote VALUE “do you think he wins by stoppage that's an easy more Emily Ducote”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jessica Penne VALUE “i will go with penne decision” $1.67
SH Sherdog.com picks Emily Ducote VALUE “Emily Ducote we go from bottom to the top emily the card is minus one for five favorite over Jessica Penne” $1.69
KU Kunath picks Emily Ducote VALUE “Emily Ducote is the pick it's gonna be by decision”
KU Kunath picks Jessica Penne “i'm really not all that interested in playing her this week”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Emily Ducote “i'm gonna side with the newcomer the invicta champion and maybe be able to beat an old 39 year old Jessica Penne in her ufc debut”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Jessica Penne VALUE “i think penne wins i think a grinding decision is more likely here” $2.28
SN SPORTS JEDI NETWORK picks Jessica Penne “Jessica Penne debut against Jessica Penne who's card I I I'll mention”
AM Artem MMA picks Jessica Penne VALUE “i am picking jessica to win a decision”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Jessica Penne VALUE “i will take pena to win the fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ducote13-9
L Demopoulos Decision · R3 May '24
W Yoder Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Godinez Decision · R3 May '23
L Hill Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Penne Decision · R3 Jul '22
Penne14-9
L Reed Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Ricci Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Ducote Decision · R3 Jul '22
W Kowalkiewicz Submission · R1 Aug '21
W Godinez Decision · R3 Apr '21