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Lemos vs WatersonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Jingliang vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
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Schnell vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
SB
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Burgos vs JourdainMain Card · Featherweight
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Soriano vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Simón vs ShorePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Algeo vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Jacoby vs JungPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Stoltzfus vs GrantPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Stoltzfus v Grant
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Stoltzfus 16-8
VS
11-6 Grant
6'0"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
184 lb
75"
reach
76"
34
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Switch
3.6
strikes landed / min
3.3
44%
striking accuracy
36%
2.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
50%
striking defence
60%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
71%
takedown accuracy
100%
52%
takedown defence
66%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i think dustin sturzfus is gonna get the hand raised”
$2.24
MMA EXPERTS picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i think dustin sturzfus is gonna get the hand raised”
$2.24
WP
We Want Picks picks Dwight Grant VALUE
“i personally think Dwight Grant wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Dwight Grant VALUE
“i personally think Dwight Grant wins this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“if Dustin Stoltzfus does win probably takedowns expected some control time expected”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“if Dustin Stoltzfus does win probably takedowns expected some control time expected”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“my lack of the week for EVENT_DETAILS is none other than the dangerous the smooth the powerful Dustin Dustin Stoltzfusfus what Dustin Dustin Stoltzfusfus full Dustin Stoltzfus full whatever the hell his last name is I I love this dude going in this matchup I know a lot of people are gonna say he's on a three fight losing streak two of those fights he was winning he was up against much much better Grapplers than him the guy's a phenomenal Grappler with good striking I know I know God I said I was never gonna pick a Grappler again and maybe this comes back to bite me but two fight winning streak we're going back to a Grappler who also has pretty good striking as well I think he can win a striking battle but I think he can definitely dominate the wrestling and grappling in this matchup it is a black belt and submission wrestling he is a brown belt in Jiu Jitsu I think he absolutely dominates this matchup with Dwight Grant Dwight Grant is a guy that's trying to become an aggressive guy he's moving up in weight not very well versed on the ground in the wrestling in the Jiu Jitsu he's trying to become an aggressive fighter and he paid for that in his last matchup got knocked out just a few months ago I think that Dustin can win this fight however he wants to win the fight if he wants to strike if he wants to wrestle I really really love the value play and Dustin here I think he absolutely dominant fight”
We Want Picks picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“my lack of the week for EVENT_DETAILS is none other than the dangerous the smooth the powerful Dustin Dustin Stoltzfusfus what Dustin Dustin Stoltzfusfus full Dustin Stoltzfus full whatever the hell his last name is I I love this dude going in this matchup I know a lot of people are gonna say he's on a three fight losing streak two of those fights he was winning he was up against much much better Grapplers than him the guy's a phenomenal Grappler with good striking I know I know God I said I was never gonna pick a Grappler again and maybe this comes back to bite me but two fight winning streak we're going back to a Grappler who also has pretty good striking as well I think he can win a striking battle but I think he can definitely dominate the wrestling and grappling in this matchup it is a black belt and submission wrestling he is a brown belt in Jiu Jitsu I think he absolutely dominates this matchup with Dwight Grant Dwight Grant is a guy that's trying to become an aggressive guy he's moving up in weight not very well versed on the ground in the wrestling in the Jiu Jitsu he's trying to become an aggressive fighter and he paid for that in his last matchup got knocked out just a few months ago I think that Dustin can win this fight however he wants to win the fight if he wants to strike if he wants to wrestle I really really love the value play and Dustin here I think he absolutely dominant fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dwight Grant
“Angelo picked Dwight Grant I'm on the Dustin side for this I feel great about it”
We Want Picks picks Dwight Grant
“Angelo picked Dwight Grant I'm on the Dustin side for this I feel great about it”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i think i would pick Dustin Stoltzfus uh you know to win that one”
$2.21
Santino DeFranco picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“i think i would pick Dustin Stoltzfus uh you know to win that one”
$2.21
KU
Kunath picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“on the other side you have dustin saltz foods who isn't particularly good at anything”
Kunath picks Dustin Stoltzfus
“on the other side you have dustin saltz foods who isn't particularly good at anything”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dwight Grant
“i'm gonna side with Dwight Grant to win this fight i think if he keeps the fight standing even if the output's low he should be able to beat dustin stokes first”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dwight Grant
“i'm gonna side with Dwight Grant to win this fight i think if he keeps the fight standing even if the output's low he should be able to beat dustin stokes first”
AM
Artem MMA picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“give me stops first by decision or submission”
Artem MMA picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“give me stops first by decision or submission”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Dwight Grant VALUE
“i am edging him to win this fight uh Dwight Grant”
Walk The Line MMA picks Dwight Grant VALUE
“i am edging him to win this fight uh Dwight Grant”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Stoltzfus16-8
L
Gastelum
Sep '25
L
Ruziboev
May '25
W
Barriault
Nov '24
L
Ferreira
Jun '24
W
Soriano
Dec '23
Grant11-6
L
Stoltzfus
Jul '22
L
Khandozhko
Apr '22
L
Trinaldo
Oct '21
W
Sekulić
Apr '21
L
Rodriguez
Aug '20