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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Aspinall v Volkov
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aspinall 15-3
VS
39-11 Volkov
6'5"
height
6'7"
251 lb
weight
261 lb
78"
reach
80"
33
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
8.1
strikes landed / min
5.1
67%
striking accuracy
57%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.0
65%
striking defence
55%
3.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
100%
takedown accuracy
63%
100%
takedown defence
73%
1.6
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CO
Covers picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i think Tom Aspinall will have value on the live betting line”
Covers picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“i think Tom Aspinall will have value on the live betting line”
CO
Covers picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“i do like Alexander Volkov with the value at plus money”
Covers picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“i do like Alexander Volkov with the value at plus money”
AS
AJ Let's Talk Sports picks Tom Aspinall
“minus 130 for Tom Aspinall it's close it's another close fight”
$1.77
AJ Let's Talk Sports picks Tom Aspinall
“minus 130 for Tom Aspinall it's close it's another close fight”
$1.77
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“I got Tom Aspinall man i think he's gonna really shock [ __ ] and he's coming his way up to the heavyweight division he's really good really skillful yeah that's the thing too that's i'm like wow really just came in and knocked them out so i'm like you right these noodles are coming in yeah bro especially for usc these new guys are definitely coming in um i think the odds a little bit changed a little bit i think Tom Aspinall hospital he's more of a favor now but it's even like it's not super favor or super underdog you know it's kind of like minus 120 plus 110 type [ __ ] oh yeah that's yeah that's decent yeah man so i'm running back again NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 for lightweight all alan featherweight co-main event and Tom Aspinall that's those three fighters i like for usc this weekend all young fighters too let's get it man”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“I got Tom Aspinall man i think he's gonna really shock [ __ ] and he's coming his way up to the heavyweight division he's really good really skillful yeah that's the thing too that's i'm like wow really just came in and knocked them out so i'm like you right these noodles are coming in yeah bro especially for usc these new guys are definitely coming in um i think the odds a little bit changed a little bit i think Tom Aspinall hospital he's more of a favor now but it's even like it's not super favor or super underdog you know it's kind of like minus 120 plus 110 type [ __ ] oh yeah that's yeah that's decent yeah man so i'm running back again NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 for lightweight all alan featherweight co-main event and Tom Aspinall that's those three fighters i like for usc this weekend all young fighters too let's get it man”
KU
Kunath picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“give me the size give me the experience and give me the cardio of Alexander Volkov this week”
Kunath picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“give me the size give me the experience and give me the cardio of Alexander Volkov this week”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkov
“Tom Aspinall might choke in the main event”
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkov
“Tom Aspinall might choke in the main event”
HB
Half The Battle picks Tom Aspinall
“perennial top 10 Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov taking on the young gun Tom Aspinall”
Half The Battle picks Tom Aspinall
“perennial top 10 Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov taking on the young gun Tom Aspinall”
HB
Half The Battle picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“perennial top 10 Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov taking on the young gun Tom Aspinall”
Half The Battle picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“perennial top 10 Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov taking on the young gun Tom Aspinall”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“i do like Alexander Volkov as well as a live dog here”
$80.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“i do like Alexander Volkov as well as a live dog here”
$80.00
SH
Sherdog.com picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“if i was to pick someone i would pick aspen”
Sherdog.com picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“if i was to pick someone i would pick aspen”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“Tom Aspinall is the pick i did throw a money line on him”
$1.91
We Want Picks picks Tom Aspinall VALUE
“Tom Aspinall is the pick i did throw a money line on him”
$1.91
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aspinall15-3
W
Blaydes
Jul '24
W
Pavlovich
Nov '23
W
Tybura
Jul '23
L
Blaydes
Jul '22
W
Volkov
Mar '22
Volkov39-11
W
Cortes-Acosta
May '26
W
Almeida
Oct '25
L
Gane
Dec '24
W
Pavlovich
Jun '24
W
Tuivasa
Sep '23