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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Amirkhani v Grundy Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Amirkhani 1
6 Grundy
M pick Amirkhani
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Amirkhani 17-9 VS 12-4 Grundy
— height 5'7"
— weight 145 lb
— reach 72"
37 age 39
Southpaw stance Orthodox
1.3 strikes landed / min 2.1
44% striking accuracy 45%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
46% striking defence 56%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 4.1
43% takedown accuracy 28%
35% takedown defence 50%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Makwan Amirkhani “i'm going to go with grundy close fight tough one to pick i'm going to go grundy”
WP We Want Picks picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i like Mike Grundy to win here”
KU Kunath picks Mike Grundy VALUE “give me mike grundy this week”
WP We Want Picks picks Makwan Amirkhani VALUE “i'm going Makwan Amirkhani in this matchup” $2.40
WP We Want Picks picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i like Mike Grundy uh to get it done” $1.62
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i'll go Mike Grundy”
WP We Want Picks picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i think you got to go pavlovic here”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mike Grundy VALUE “give me mike running for the win give me mike running to win by decision” $1.62
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Mike Grundy “yeah i'm gonna side with mike grundy on this one guys i think maquon's career in the ufc arguably coming to an end”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i like Mike Grundy here” $1.76
AM Artem MMA picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i do just have to go Mike Grundy to win this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Mike Grundy VALUE “i think that's Mike Grundy i think he has no desire to do anything other than get takedowns in this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Amirkhani17-9
L Shore Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Pearce KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
W Grundy Submission · R1 Mar '22
L Murphy KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21
L Kirk Decision · R3 Jun '21
Grundy12-4
L Amirkhani Submission · R1 Mar '22
L Vannata Decision · R3 May '21
L Evloev Decision · R3 Jul '20
W Narimani KO/TKO · R2 Mar '19