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UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Craig v Krylov Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Craig 6
1 Krylov
MSAWWD pick Craig
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Craig 17-10-1 VS 30-11 Krylov
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 205 lb
76" reach 78"
38 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.4
48% striking accuracy 55%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
52% striking defence 44%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
60% takedown accuracy 38%
80% takedown defence 53%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Paul Craig VALUE “i actually do like Paul Craig here”
SH Sherdog.com picks Paul Craig VALUE “i'm going for here Paul Craig plus 116” $2.16
WP We Want Picks picks Nikita Krylov VALUE “my actual pick to win this fight after just digging in and really grinding through is Nikita Krylov”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Paul Craig VALUE “Paul Craig by armbar”
WP We Want Picks picks Paul Craig VALUE “i actually do like Paul Craig here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Paul Craig VALUE “Paul Craig throwing down now we remember Paul Craig said he's only going to be fighting uh through throughout the rest of this year and then he's going to retire so i'm interested to see um how things progress here obviously if he loses i think that decision becomes a little bit easier for him but he wins this fight he's gonna mess around and end up uh pushing his way towards the title”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nikita Krylov “my prediction on this one i'm gonna take Nikita Krylov if he doesn't make a mistake end up on the map he's probably gonna win the fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Paul Craig VALUE “i'm going Paul Craig win by submission” $2.58
AM Artem MMA picks Paul Craig VALUE “I'm going Paul Craig”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Craig17-10-1
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
Krylov30-11
W Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
L Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Spann Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Oezdemir Decision · R3 Oct '22