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Ankalaev vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Yadong vs MoraesMain Card · Bantamweight
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Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight
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Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Aldrich vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Maverick vs MazoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Murzakanov vs NchukwiPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TS
Ankalaev vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
SY
MM
Yadong vs MoraesMain Card · Bantamweight
SY
AC
Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight
KJ
KR
Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DD
TM
Dober vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
AP
BS
Pereira vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight
MS
AF
Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
GR
Aldrich vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JB
TJ
Basharat vs JonesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
DJ
KK
Jackson vs KirkPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MM
SM
Maverick vs MazoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
CB
DL
Brundage vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
GC
KM
Cannetti vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AM
TN
Murzakanov vs NchukwiPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ankalaev v Santos
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ankalaev 21-2-1
VS
22-11 Santos
6'3"
height
—
204 lb
weight
—
75"
reach
—
34
age
42
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
3.7
65%
striking accuracy
48%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
54%
striking defence
53%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
35%
takedown accuracy
33%
84%
takedown defence
65%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think he wins he's basically a guarantee”
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think he wins he's basically a guarantee”
KU
Kunath picks Magomed Ankalaev
“right at the top we have Magomed Ankalaev”
Kunath picks Magomed Ankalaev
“right at the top we have Magomed Ankalaev”
HB
Half The Battle picks Magomed Ankalaev
“his minus 500 price tag might should uh be justified”
$1.20
Half The Battle picks Magomed Ankalaev
“his minus 500 price tag might should uh be justified”
$1.20
SH
Sherdog.com picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“if I had to go for someone straight up here to win i would definitely go for him”
$1.18
Sherdog.com picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“if I had to go for someone straight up here to win i would definitely go for him”
$1.18
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think ankalive does win this fight and i feel pretty comfortable with that”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think ankalive does win this fight and i feel pretty comfortable with that”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i'm going magametta ain't live i think he's better everywhere”
MMA JOEY picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i'm going magametta ain't live i think he's better everywhere”
WP
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i have him winning i think he does it with forward pressure heavy kicks manages range and just constantly um threatens that takedown to really get Thiago Santos thinking”
$1.17
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i have him winning i think he does it with forward pressure heavy kicks manages range and just constantly um threatens that takedown to really get Thiago Santos thinking”
$1.17
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“you like Magomed Ankalaev by decision okay you think Drew Dober gonna starch Terrance McKinney all right all right i i i don't know i disagree but we'll see what happens”
MMA EXPERTS picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“you like Magomed Ankalaev by decision okay you think Drew Dober gonna starch Terrance McKinney all right all right i i i don't know i disagree but we'll see what happens”
CO
Covers picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i do think Magomed Ankalaev is the probably gonna win this fight”
$1.17
Covers picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i do think Magomed Ankalaev is the probably gonna win this fight”
$1.17
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i've been very high on him uh a very complete fighter”
$1.20
Walk The Line MMA picks Magomed Ankalaev
“i've been very high on him uh a very complete fighter”
$1.20
WP
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think he wins he's basically a guarantee”
We Want Picks picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“i do think he wins he's basically a guarantee”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Magomed Ankalaev
“my prediction for this fight i'm going to pick Magomed Ankalaev and goliath to win this match up”
$1.20
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Magomed Ankalaev
“my prediction for this fight i'm going to pick Magomed Ankalaev and goliath to win this match up”
$1.20
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ankalaev21-2-1
L
Pereira
Oct '25
W
Pereira
Mar '25
W
Rakić
Oct '24
W
Walker
Jan '24
W
Smith
Jul '22
Santos22-11
L
Hill
Aug '22
L
Ankalaev
Mar '22
W
Walker
Oct '21
L
Rakić
Mar '21
L
Teixeira
Nov '20