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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Murzakanov v Nchukwi Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Murzakanov 6
0 Nchukwi
HMUAWW pick Murzakanov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Murzakanov 16-0 VS 6-4 Nchukwi
5'10" height 6'0"
205 lb weight 189 lb
72" reach 77"
37 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 5.6
56% striking accuracy 52%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
61% striking defence 54%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
15% takedown accuracy 57%
83% takedown defence 64%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “i do like azmat Azamat Murzakanov to win this fight”
HB Half The Battle picks Azamat Murzakanov “i'm gonna go with azuma to to get the win here man” $1.53
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “I'm gonna go with Azamat Murzakanov and i think he'll actually end up finding a tko in this fight” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Tafon Nchukwi VALUE “i'm going with the underdog Tafon Nchukwi in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Azamat Murzakanov “so the pick is Azamat Murzakanov”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “i think Azamat Murzakanov is going to win here does he get a def the finish does he get choke we put out of there something that hasn't been done i don't know i can say yes and i slightly will say yes but i definitely could see the three rounds here i think Azamat Murzakanov is a fun guy at light heavyweight he's got a lot of ability i got murzakan off” $1.61
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “i like Azamat Murzakanov uh Azamat Murzakanov mirza khanov to win this fight i think that he's gonna win the striking exchanges and he's more likely to get a knockout victory” $1.77
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “so that's gonna be my first prediction i'm gonna side with the professional Azamat Murzakanov” $1.62
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Azamat Murzakanov “i think Azamat Murzakanov marzanakanov wins by a unanimous decision” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “i think azmat and his brick head are just going to come forward back to fan up and just go to his wrestling”
AM Artem MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov “i think he's going to get the job done uh Azamat Murzakanov this is a guy man that uh 4205 in his dana white's continued series fight uh dana white signed him and said you know what i kind of wouldn't mind you fighting at 185 he does actually have a knockout win over andre muniz i think he's actually in the top fifteen the guess is the guy that submitted jacqueline souza azamat moza khanov has knocked him out but now he's 35 years old making his ufc debut man he's not a young prospect and he's fine at 205 instead of 185 like dana once but he has actually taken fights 265 against the felipe linz and jared bandera on short notice but they fell out so this is why this is his uh debut he knocked out a guy in the first round who was fourteen and six a tough one in chickwee also a dana white's continued series guy knocked out ali matavo in the first round with a tick kick beat janie pickett who's all right i i do think highly of a more highly objective picket now that he's beaten joseph holmes but i still don't think too highly of him he just most recently lost to colin dalcas on short notice by the way uh lost his decision to uh junior on park who's legit and big slow mike rodriguez i think azamat moser khan off he's an older guy but i think he's potentially got like at least like a top 15 runner in him at the 205 pound division he's got legit ko power on the feet i think he's going to get the job done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Murzakanov16-0
L Costa KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
W Rakić KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ribeiro KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Menifield KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
W Jacoby Decision · R3 Apr '23
Nchukwi6-4
L Dobson Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
L Murzakanov KO/TKO · R3 Mar '22
W Rodríguez Decision · R3 Sep '21
L Park Decision · R3 May '21