MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
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MA TS Ankalaev vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight SY MM Yadong vs MoraesMain Card · Bantamweight SY AC Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight KJ KR Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight DD TM Dober vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight AP BS Pereira vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight MS AF Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight JA GR Aldrich vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight JB TJ Basharat vs JonesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ KK Jackson vs KirkPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM SM Maverick vs MazoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CB DL Brundage vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight GC KM Cannetti vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AM TN Murzakanov vs NchukwiPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Cannetti v Moutinho Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Cannetti 2
6 Moutinho
TW pick Cannetti
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cannetti 10-8 VS 14-7 Moutinho
5'6" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 68"
46 age 33
Southpaw stance Southpaw
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.9
55% striking accuracy 32%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 15.5
51% striking defence 28%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
55% takedown accuracy 0%
64% takedown defence 0%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Kris Moutinho “i think he literally wins only because he's young and he's clearly durable as hell”
HB Half The Battle picks Kris Moutinho “i'm gonna go chris matino” $1.67
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kris Moutinho VALUE “i like chris motino i'll go with the third round stoppage” $1.69
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Kris Moutinho VALUE “i'm actually picking him to win and the reason i'm picking him to win is because you know he's going to be 13 years younger he's going to have a cardio advantage”
WP We Want Picks picks Guido Cannetti VALUE “it is guido in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Kris Moutinho “i'm gonna go with motino here literally for youth”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Guido Cannetti VALUE “i'll pick guido connetti to win the fight” $2.25
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kris Moutinho VALUE “so yeah i'm going to take Kris Moutinho to get a nice win against an old guido canet” $1.71
AM Artem MMA picks Kris Moutinho “i'm going Kris Moutinho 29-28 i wouldn't be betting this fight”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Guido Cannetti VALUE “i'm gonna go with Guido Cannetti here he looked quite good in his last performance”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kris Moutinho “i think chris moutinho gets to win unanimous decision in this one” $1.72
WP We Want Picks picks Kris Moutinho “i will lean motino here just because of his durability”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cannetti10-8
L Bautista Submission · R1 Mar '23
W Costa Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Moutinho KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L Martinez Decision · R3 Aug '21
L Batgerel KO/TKO · R1 Mar '20
Moutinho14-7
L Quiñónez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Quiñonez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Wellmaker KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
L Cannetti KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L O'Malley KO/TKO · R3 Jul '21