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Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight
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Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Dober vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight
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Pereira vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight
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Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rountree Jr. v Roberson
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rountree Jr. 15-7
VS
9-6 Roberson
6'1"
height
6'1"
205 lb
weight
203 lb
76"
reach
74"
36
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
4.8
strikes landed / min
2.6
39%
striking accuracy
51%
2.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
46%
striking defence
57%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
40%
takedown accuracy
40%
55%
takedown defence
40%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i like roberson to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i like roberson to win this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Karl Roberson
“Karl Roberson is going to be able to get the job done”
Kunath picks Karl Roberson
“Karl Roberson is going to be able to get the job done”
HB
Half The Battle picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“i'm going to lean with Khalil Rountree Jr. with the speed advantage here”
$2.05
Half The Battle picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“i'm going to lean with Khalil Rountree Jr. with the speed advantage here”
$2.05
SH
Sherdog.com picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“if Khalil Rountree Jr. around three turns up and he fights as well as he can which you never know will kill your own tree i think he'll win it”
$2.17
Sherdog.com picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“if Khalil Rountree Jr. around three turns up and he fights as well as he can which you never know will kill your own tree i think he'll win it”
$2.17
SH
Sherdog.com picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“Karl Roberson he's a minus 135 favor over Khalil Rountree Jr.”
$1.73
Sherdog.com picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“Karl Roberson he's a minus 135 favor over Khalil Rountree Jr.”
$1.73
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i really like robertson here you take a look at roberson and how does he lose it's typically by submission well it is by submission he's only lost four times and all four of them come by submission”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i really like robertson here you take a look at roberson and how does he lose it's typically by submission well it is by submission he's only lost four times and all four of them come by submission”
WP
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“so i do like Karl Roberson here”
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“so i do like Karl Roberson here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“i'm gonna side with the guy who's more used to fighting at 205 and that's going to be khalil roundtree”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Khalil Rountree Jr.
“i'm gonna side with the guy who's more used to fighting at 205 and that's going to be khalil roundtree”
AM
Artem MMA picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“i'm pretty sure that Khalil Rountree Jr. is going to get the win on this one”
Artem MMA picks Khalil Rountree Jr. VALUE
“i'm pretty sure that Khalil Rountree Jr. is going to get the win on this one”
WP
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i am giving the slight edge to roberson here”
We Want Picks picks Karl Roberson VALUE
“i am giving the slight edge to roberson here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rountree Jr.15-7
L
Procházka
Oct '25
W
Hill
Jun '25
L
Pereira
Oct '24
W
Smith
Dec '23
W
Daukaus
Aug '23
Roberson9-6
L
Nzechukwu
Jul '22
L
Rountree Jr.
Mar '22
L
Allen
Apr '21
L
Vettori
Jun '20
W
Kopylov
Nov '19