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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
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MA TS Ankalaev vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight SY MM Yadong vs MoraesMain Card · Bantamweight SY AC Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight KJ KR Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight DD TM Dober vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight AP BS Pereira vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight MS AF Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight JA GR Aldrich vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight JB TJ Basharat vs JonesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ KK Jackson vs KirkPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM SM Maverick vs MazoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CB DL Brundage vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight GC KM Cannetti vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AM TN Murzakanov vs NchukwiPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jackson v Kirk Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus8 picks · conf 24/99
Jackson 4
4 Kirk
MAWW pick Jackson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jackson 23-8-1 VS 12-6 Kirk
5'11" height
155 lb weight
71" reach
37 age 32
Switch stance Switch
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.2
42% striking accuracy 50%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.9
49% striking defence 40%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
32% takedown accuracy 26%
37% takedown defence 47%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Damon Jackson VALUE “i do think Damon Jackson wins this fight”
KU Kunath picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE “i think there's a lot more value on the other side with Kamuela Kirk”
HB Half The Battle picks Kamuela Kirk “actually give me uh kamuela kirk to come out here and and just scrape by this decision” $1.95
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Kamuela Kirk “i gotta slightly lean the Kamuela Kirk's side i think he could touch up Damon Jackson on the feet”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damon Jackson “i'm gonna lean Damon Jackson very tough fight to pick guys one that i personally won't be betting on” $1.95
WP We Want Picks picks Damon Jackson VALUE “i'm going Damon Jackson” $1.91
WP We Want Picks picks Kamuela Kirk “Kamuela Kirk is definitely the safe pick here” $1.91
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Damon Jackson VALUE “i'm liking kirk here look at Damon Jackson's past few beating charles rosa at this point isn't worth a ton eliot taporia really [ __ ] him up he beat backtick and then you look on the opposite side you know daniel swain uh Thiago Santos lost to Bruno Silva was pretty damn good striking billy q beat some not a bad loss beats macwonamir connie debuting in the EVENT_DETAILS i feel like the side of i feel like the side of kirk is the smart side here i really do”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Damon Jackson VALUE “i'll take Damon Jackson there to win the fight” $1.95
WP We Want Picks picks Damon Jackson VALUE “i think Damon Jackson's a solid play”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Kamuela Kirk VALUE “i'm gonna side with camuella kirk” $1.83
AM Artem MMA picks Damon Jackson “i'm going to go with Damon Jackson”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jackson23-8-1
L Miller Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Mariscal Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Hernandez Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Quarantillo Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Ige KO/TKO · R2 Jan '23
Kirk12-6
L Ribovics Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Jackson Submission · R2 Mar '22
W Amirkhani Decision · R3 Jun '21