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Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Semelsberger v Fletcher
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Semelsberger 11-8
VS
10-3 Fletcher
6'1"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
75"
reach
—
33
age
29
Switch
stance
Switch
3.8
strikes landed / min
3.4
42%
striking accuracy
49%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
54%
striking defence
46%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
57%
takedown accuracy
35%
45%
takedown defence
33%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i like A.J. Fletcher to win this fight i put a money line bet on aj fletcher to win”
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i like A.J. Fletcher to win this fight i put a money line bet on aj fletcher to win”
KU
Kunath picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“matt Matthew Semelsberger is an absolute stud at 9 300 and i think we need to talk about this just a little bit publicly”
Kunath picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“matt Matthew Semelsberger is an absolute stud at 9 300 and i think we need to talk about this just a little bit publicly”
HB
Half The Battle picks Matthew Semelsberger
“at this point in their respective careers i gotta go with semelsberger to win this fight”
$1.48
Half The Battle picks Matthew Semelsberger
“at this point in their respective careers i gotta go with semelsberger to win this fight”
$1.48
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i'm going semmel's burger i'm gonna say knockout i think he's gonna put that two straight down the pipe”
$1.53
MMA EXPERTS picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i'm going semmel's burger i'm gonna say knockout i think he's gonna put that two straight down the pipe”
$1.53
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i think he can definitely win here uh but A.J. Fletcher is a very intriguing pump play”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i think he can definitely win here uh but A.J. Fletcher is a very intriguing pump play”
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i love aj fletcher here i absolutely love him this is another one the contender series fade people you are going to miss out on a big payday if you don't jump on the A.J. Fletcher train and i put one unit and i got him at plus 220”
$3.20
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i love aj fletcher here i absolutely love him this is another one the contender series fade people you are going to miss out on a big payday if you don't jump on the A.J. Fletcher train and i put one unit and i got him at plus 220”
$3.20
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i'm going with the selmas burger side i mean i do think he might get the stoppage but leaning decision here i like robertson a lot in this fight one of more confident plays”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i'm going with the selmas burger side i mean i do think he might get the stoppage but leaning decision here i like robertson a lot in this fight one of more confident plays”
$1.45
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i like aj fletcher to win this fight i put a moneyline bet on A.J. Fletcher to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i like aj fletcher to win this fight i put a moneyline bet on A.J. Fletcher to win this fight”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“my prediction i'm gonna side with Matthew Semelsberger”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“my prediction i'm gonna side with Matthew Semelsberger”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger
“i'm leaning towards that decision side for Matthew Semelsberger”
$1.42
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger
“i'm leaning towards that decision side for Matthew Semelsberger”
$1.42
WP
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i absolutely love A.J. Fletcher here and i have a one unit moneyline bet on A.J. Fletcher”
We Want Picks picks A.J. Fletcher VALUE
“i absolutely love A.J. Fletcher here and i have a one unit moneyline bet on A.J. Fletcher”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Semelsberger11-8
L
Radtke
Nov '24
L
Parsons
Jan '24
L
Medić
Jul '23
L
Wells
Apr '23
W
Matthews
Dec '22
Fletcher10-3
W
Gorimbo
Feb '23
L
Loosa
Aug '22
L
Semelsberger
Mar '22