MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
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MA TS Ankalaev vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight SY MM Yadong vs MoraesMain Card · Bantamweight SY AC Yusuff vs CaceresMain Card · Featherweight KJ KR Rountree Jr. vs RobersonMain Card · Light Heavyweight DD TM Dober vs McKinneyMain Card · Lightweight AP BS Pereira vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight MS AF Semelsberger vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Welterweight JA GR Aldrich vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight JB TJ Basharat vs JonesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ KK Jackson vs KirkPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM SM Maverick vs MazoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CB DL Brundage vs LungiambulaPreliminary Card · Middleweight GC KM Cannetti vs MoutinhoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AM TN Murzakanov vs NchukwiPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Yadong v Moraes Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Yadong 6
1 Moraes
HMUSDK pick Yadong
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Yadong 22-9-1 VS 23-10-1 Moraes
5'8" height —
136 lb weight —
67" reach —
28 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 3.4
43% striking accuracy 40%
4.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
55% striking defence 54%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
40% takedown accuracy 41%
72% takedown defence 46%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Song Yadong “i like song yidong to win the fight literally because of youth”
KU Kunath picks Song Yadong “song Song Yadong”
HB Half The Battle picks Song Yadong “i think he's going to come down here and walk him down” $1.40
SH Sherdog.com picks Song Yadong VALUE “i would pick bernal to win it in fairness i think he will win and i think he will get the submission” $1.45
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Song Yadong VALUE “i think seongyoung can finish mariah's here”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Song Yadong VALUE “i have a marlon maurice versus Song Yadong prediction”
WP We Want Picks picks Song Yadong VALUE “i think song wins a decision” $1.42
WP We Want Picks picks Song Yadong “i like Song Yadong to win the fight literally because of youth”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Song Yadong VALUE “i'm picking Song Yadong never picked against him” $1.42
WP We Want Picks picks Song Yadong VALUE “i like javid here”
WP We Want Picks picks Marlon Moraes VALUE “i need to go with yadong here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Yadong22-9-1
W Figueiredo Submission · R2 May '26
L O'Malley Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Yan Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Gutiérrez Decision · R5 Dec '23
Moraes23-10-1
L Yadong KO/TKO · R1 Mar '22
L Dvalishvili KO/TKO · R2 Sep '21
L Font KO/TKO · R1 Dec '20
L Sandhagen KO/TKO · R2 Oct '20
W Aldo Decision · R3 Dec '19