UFC 324 Pimblett vs Gaethje | FINAL PICKS / BETS

I think Josh Hokit is a wild storm to deal with early on. And I I think Denzel Freeman could gas himself out uh late first round or uh early second round. And I think Josh Hok could smell blood in the water and um kind of just pounce on it and get this fight to the ground and land some good ground and pound and I think the ref steps in and stops the fight. I'm going to go with Josh Hoget. Um, I'm gonna go TKO, ground and pound in the second.

I'm going with the UFC debut fighter here in Ty Miller. I think there is a shot here where he finishes fight or he finishes this fight late, like round two late or round three. I just don't know, man. Adam Fug's chin. I just don't know. Not comfortable in backing it. Um, but yeah, I I think Ty Miller has the boxing to land that shot and put him away in the second third round. So, I'm gonna go TKO third round.

I'm not leaving Waldo, man. Derrick Lewis is he's talking that [ __ ] I love the confidence from the Black Beast. He don't He has never lacked that. But the starown when they faced off is probably one of my favorites from this week. I'm loving what I'm seeing. The the the the heavyweight like the heavyweight tension, you know what I'm saying? I'm loving what I'm seeing from both of these guys. I think this fight is going to be great for as long as it last. I think Waldo has a good chin. I think he has a durable chin. Now, Derrick Lewis knockout king, finish king. Like, the power carries for all three rounds. Um, but I just don't like how Derrick Lewis can just not do a lot. He can't do anything for a certain amount of time and then he'll just explode with an overhand and throw it out and see if it lands. Sometimes it's worked, you know, like he'll just throw crazy until it it connects. and and sometimes that that has worked with uh you know against his opponents and got his opponents out of there. But I think Waldo has the the chin to eat those shots or some of them enough of them for Waldo to get off his own offense and find his finish. I think Waldo Cortez has a Costa styles on black uh Derrick Lewis and um give me Waldo to finish Derrick Lewis in round two.

I'm taking Nikita Nikita Krylov and I'm going to take him by submission and I think it's going to be first round. I believe and I think that we see a more smarter dialed in. I think we see a heavy wrestling and grappling approach from Nikita Nikita Krylov. Um, I told you guys when I brought this fight down on Monday or Tuesday, um, Kryop did an interview in Russian and, uh, he told us what happened in those last two fights. Uh, you know, getting knocked out back to back. Um, and I kind of believe it because he fought like he meant it, like those words that he said. um you know taking the Guskov fight a quick turnaround from the Dominic Reyes knockout. He took Guskov three months later decided to jump back in there and not even he didn't even train for that Guskov fight and he just went in there overlooked his opponent and he got knocked out. Um he is taking this fight very very seriously and I believe it. Kry law when you look at the body of work compared comparing these guys he has a very very impressive resume now we can say that the chin is gone. We can say that and I think Kryov has learned that lesson the hard way of getting knocked out back to back and losing that ranking spot that he had because he was ranked highly in the UFC uh light heavyweight division. until he lost those two fights. And I think he's going to remind everybody just what he's capable of and the skill set that he has. Um, this man is nasty on the ground. I think people forget about the ground game of Nikita Krylov. I think he he reminds everybody. NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 is uh has bad takedown defense. Um, he is he was training with Tom Aspenol. Tom Aspenol is dealing with an injury from last year in October with that gone fight that I that gym has been shut down for now and Wowskis hasn't been training how he usually does with Tom Aspenol. He's been bringing in people to train with him in his garage and I think the preparation is just a little bit different. I'm taking a Kitty Kryov to win by submission. I think he bounces back and this may be the last time I I I back my man and Kryov. So give me Kryov to win by submission, man.

I was praising the the straight shots and the boxing and the hands, the speed of Michael Johnson here. Um, but you know, I was after I did that breakdown, I was kind of just watching some fights, uh, kind of going through these picks again and you know, I watched back that Darius Flowers fight and Darius Flowers kind of seeing MJ going, you know, to decision with Darius Flowers. I was um yeah, bad fight to watch, you know, and um and I know I I hold that Zel Huber fight and that win highly from MJ, but I don't know, man. I think with the money coming in on MJ and it it's coming down to a pick him, I'm going to switch to Alexander Hernandez. I think money keeps coming in. Honestly, I think it it will the line will keep moving in the favor of MJ. And as of right now, if I'm checking bed fight odds or best fight odds, um yeah, this like uh minus 114, Michael Johnson, minus 109 for Hernandez. I'm just not I don't like it, man. It's making me very uncomfortable. I'll say that Hernandez to go and win by finish TKO is looking like plus 350 plus 400. And both of these guys I think MJ may have the more sketchier chins. You never know that chin can go out. Michael Johnson has known to be knocked out and finished. So that chin can just go. Maybe Alexander Hernandez finds that chin. I don't know. Give me Alexander Hernandez to win by TKO in the second round, man. Hick switch. There we go, man. I just hate the money coming in on uh MJ there.

I just think he's the mindset's there. Uh I I I love the value for the underdog here. Um stylistically, maybe not the best stylistic matchup for Song Yadong, but I think he's well prepared and I think he's going to start wrestling early in this fight. Give Shauna Milly some something to think about. I think he can get in and get it striking off. So, I'm going to go with Song Yadong to win by decision in the main event.

I just think he's the mindset's there. Uh I I I love the value for the underdog here. Um stylistically, maybe not the best stylistic matchup for Song Yadong, but I think he's well prepared and I think he's going to start wrestling early in this fight. Give Shauna Milly some something to think about. I think he can get in and get it striking off. So, I'm going to go with Song Yadong to win by decision in the main event.

I'm taking Umar. Uh I think Figgy missed weight today. He looked bad. Um just I don't know, man. The accolades are there for Biggie. like he, you know, flyweight champion, um, you know, all that stuff, right? But ever since he's been moved up to 135, he's been leaning more towards his grappling and wrestling uh to win these fights. But, you know, barely getting by a Montel Jackson uh doesn't doesn't sit well with me when you are going up against this man and Umar Nurmagamedov. why I think is going to be quicker, faster, more explosive, kick heavy. Um, he's gonna hit you with all different types of angles with the kicks, the punches. There's going to be a lot to deal with, and I don't think Figgy is is ready for this barrage of uh of punches, kicks, and wrestling in the physicality difference. I think he I think Figy is going to figure out just how strong a real 135 is with the wrestling man because he hasn't really fought a wrestler at 135 like an Umar Nurmagamed off and uh it's going to be a rude awakening man. Now I don't think that Umar submits Figo because Figgy is you know he's nice with the with the grappling. I think Umar tries to submit him. I think he may find a an attempt here and there, but I think Figgy survives that. I think Umar gets on top and I think he lands some nasty ground and pound. I'm taking Umar Nagamed off to win by TKO in the second round.

I'm kind of glad that Arnold Allen is getting that recognition. He's getting more time to talk and he's he's on a big card or a numbered card and people are starting to see his personality. Um, but Jean Silva, man, I hate that I'm picking Jean Silva in this fight because I like him, but man, he does some cringy [ __ ] man. Like, him crying and breaking breaking down when he's taking the photos and when they put a put the UFC belt in front of him and this man's a full-on breakdown and crying, sobbing. H I just can't do it no more, man. I hope for I hope for an Arnold Allen upset here, but uh man, I'm gonna take Jean Silva here. I don't like it. I don't like the pick just because Arnold Allen if this is a if this is a striking fight and Arnold Allen stays on the outside striking Jean Silva is gonna have a hard time man but I love that Arnold Allen has moved to a different gym for this camp. He's training with a very very fantastic mind in MMA. Probably one of the best coaches ever and um Zahabi a Tristar and those guys always have a great game plan. So I think we see a really good Arnold Allen in this fight. Now I do worry about the um do worry about his chin though and just how much punishment can it take? Uh because if Jean Silva isn't playing with his food and he kind of lets [ __ ] go and let his hands go and if he can get in close, work the body, you know, put put some combinations together, I think Jean Silva is just he just has this strength that he can just manhandle a lot of people at 145. And uh I don't know, man. I'm gonna go with Gene Silva, but I don't like my pick. Um, yeah. So, give me Gene Silva to win by decision. Ah, yeah. I'm I'm gonna stay with Decision. I don't know, man. Uh, next fight we have Natália Silva versus Rose Amunas. I'm going Silva by decision.

I'm kind of glad that Arnold Allen is getting that recognition. He's getting more time to talk and he's he's on a big card or a numbered card and people are starting to see his personality. Um, but Jean Silva, man, I hate that I'm picking Jean Silva in this fight because I like him, but man, he does some cringy [ __ ] man. Like, him crying and breaking breaking down when he's taking the photos and when they put a put the UFC belt in front of him and this man's a full-on breakdown and crying, sobbing. H I just can't do it no more, man. I hope for I hope for an Arnold Allen upset here, but uh man, I'm gonna take Jean Silva here. I don't like it. I don't like the pick just because Arnold Allen if this is a if this is a striking fight and Arnold Allen stays on the outside striking Jean Silva is gonna have a hard time man but I love that Arnold Allen has moved to a different gym for this camp. He's training with a very very fantastic mind in MMA. Probably one of the best coaches ever and um Zahabi a Tristar and those guys always have a great game plan. So I think we see a really good Arnold Allen in this fight. Now I do worry about the um do worry about his chin though and just how much punishment can it take? Uh because if Jean Silva isn't playing with his food and he kind of lets [ __ ] go and let his hands go and if he can get in close, work the body, you know, put put some combinations together, I think Jean Silva is just he just has this strength that he can just manhandle a lot of people at 145. And uh I don't know, man. I'm gonna go with Gene Silva, but I don't like my pick. Um, yeah. So, give me Gene Silva to win by decision. Ah, yeah. I'm I'm gonna stay with Decision. I don't know, man. Uh, next fight we have Natália Silva versus Rose Amunas. I'm going Silva by decision.

I think Charles Johnson energy to win by TKO round three. Um, yeah, man. I think Charles Johnson is I think Charles Johnson is low-key annoyed about how the careers have went from him knocking out Joshua Van what two years ago a year and six months ago he knocked out Joshua Van in in the third round and then to see where Joshua Van is at now and then see where Charles Johnson is at not even ranked I think it's rubbing him the wrong way and I think he wants to get his name up there in the rankings and start fighting for start fighting some meaningful fights, meaningful names. I think he's very very motivated by seeing Joshua Van win that title and knowing that I knock that champion out. I can do it. I can make I can get myself there. I think we we see a very very good performance from Charles Johnson, man. So, I'm going to take Charles Johnson to to finish Alex Perez in the third round.

I think Play moves back is scared of the power. I mean, damn right. I mean, look at this goddamn beast. Gutierre is going to land a shot and Pouyv is going to scoot back, keep moving back and run away probably. I think Ateba Gautier finishes this fight um three minutes into the first round.

I think Charles Johnson energy to win by TKO round three. Um, yeah, man. I think Charles Johnson is I think Charles Johnson is low-key annoyed about how the careers have went from him knocking out Joshua Van what two years ago a year and six months ago he knocked out Joshua Van in in the third round and then to see where Joshua Van is at now and then see where Charles Johnson is at not even ranked I think it's rubbing him the wrong way and I think he wants to get his name up there in the rankings and start fighting for start fighting some meaningful fights, meaningful names. I think he's very very motivated by seeing Joshua Van win that title and knowing that I knock that champion out. I can do it. I can make I can get myself there. I think we we see a very very good performance from Charles Johnson, man. So, I'm going to take Charles Johnson to to finish Alex Perez in the third round.