UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown
UFC Fight Night 106 Gilbert Burns vs Michael Morales Full Card Prediction and Breakdown
MA
MMA Anthony58% hit
13 months ago
4W–4L · -1.8u
8/9 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TP
Tecia Pennington
v Luana Pinheiro
PROP · DECISION
WON
Tecia Pennington
v Luana Pinheiro
PROP · DECISION
WON
“Uh Tecia Pennington by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.29
Pennington’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.29
PH
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Park Hyun-sung
v Carlos Hernandez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to pick him decision.”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.56
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
DG
Denise Gomes
v Elise Reed
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Denise Gomes
v Elise Reed
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“Denise Gomes minus 650 is gonna just dog walk Elise Reed. Probably the first finish of the night. First round DKO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.19
Gomes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.15
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63
→
close$1.63
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
TM
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Thiago Moisés
v Jared Gordon
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm picking Thiago Moisés in this one.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.15
Moisés’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.95
SY
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Sodiq Yusuff
v Mairon Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm actually going to go with Sodiq Yusuff here.”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.24
→
close$2.35
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
RB
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
—
Rodolfo Bellato
v Paul Craig
PROP · KO/TKO
—
“First round TKO. Second round maybe Paul Craig. ... Blotto way better on the feet. He's going to be able to piece him up. I think that's what he's going to do. First round, second round, TKO.”
Analyst’s stated line
$1.18
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Melquizael Costa
v Julian Erosa
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I feel like I'm going to go with Melquizael Costa here. Melquizael Costa Submission probably third round.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.60
→
close$1.59
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Michael Morales
v Gilbert Burns
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I'm going to be going Michael Morales here. ... Michael Morales second round TKO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.18
Morales’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.12