UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · breakdown
UFC 315: Muhammad v. Della Maddalena BEST BETS
TC
The Finz Chats49% hit
14 months ago
6W–13L · -0.9u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
BK
Brad Katona
v Bekzat Almakhan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Brad Katona
v Bekzat Almakhan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I have Brad Katona picked to win by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.38
Katona’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.90
BA
Bekzat Almakhan
v Brad Katona
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Bekzat Almakhan
v Brad Katona
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“Bekzat Almakhan KO is a is a hot take. I see a lot of people taking that plus 380.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.71
→
close$1.71
Almakhan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.80
LJ
Lee Jeong-yeong
v Daniel Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Lee Jeong-yeong
v Daniel Santos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I have three units on his money line. I got it at plus 102.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.02
→
close$2.02
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
DS
Daniel Santos
v Lee Jeong-yeong
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Daniel Santos
v Lee Jeong-yeong
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“If you want to take Daniel Santos by his most likely win condition, that would be round 1 KO, that's plus a,000.”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
MB
Marc-André Barriault
v Bruno Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Marc-André Barriault
v Bruno Silva
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“Marc-André Barriault is the favorite.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.63
→
close$1.67
Barriault’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BS
Bruno Silva
v Marc-André Barriault
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Bruno Silva
v Marc-André Barriault
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I actually have Bruno Silva picked. I have him to win by round one KO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.45
→
close$2.48
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.00
IC
Ion Cuțelaba
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Ion Cuțelaba
v Modestas Bukauskas
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think Ion Cuțelaba wins by round two KO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.90
→
close$1.90
Cuțelaba’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.80
JJ
Jasmine Jasudavicius
v Jéssica Andrade
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jasmine Jasudavicius
v Jéssica Andrade
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I currently have Jasmine to win by decision on tapology, which is plus 135.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.37
Jasudavicius’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.35
JA
Jéssica Andrade
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Jéssica Andrade
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“If you're on the Jéssica Andrade side, her by KO is probably the best bet.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.60
→
close$3.70
Andrade’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.50
CR
Charles Radtke
v Mike Malott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Charles Radtke
v Mike Malott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I have Charles Radtke to win by KO in round two.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.80
Radtke’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.30
MM
Mike Malott
v Charles Radtke
METHOD
WON
Mike Malott
v Charles Radtke
METHOD
WON
“I have Charles Radtke to win by KO in round two.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.61
→
close$1.62
Malott’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS
Natália Silva
v Alexa Grasso
PROP · DECISION
WON
Natália Silva
v Alexa Grasso
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I think Natalyia Silva wins by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.45
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.67
AG
Alexa Grasso
v Natália Silva
METHOD
LOST
Alexa Grasso
v Natália Silva
METHOD
LOST
“Grao by sub plus 1500. KO plus 1500. Like they don't think a finish will happen at all.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$3.13
→
close$3.25
Grasso’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AZ
Aiemann Zahabi
v José Aldo
PROP · DECISION
WON
Aiemann Zahabi
v José Aldo
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I have him to peg to win by decision on topology.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.75
→
close$2.76
Zahabi’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.40
JA
José Aldo
v Aiemann Zahabi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
José Aldo
v Aiemann Zahabi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I think José Aldo only wins by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.57
Aldo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.91
VS
Valentina Shevchenko
v Manon Fiorot
PROP · DECISION
WON
Valentina Shevchenko
v Manon Fiorot
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I have Valentina Shevchenko to win by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20
→
close$2.20
Shevchenko’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.20
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Jack Della Maddalena
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Belal Muhammad
v Jack Della Maddalena
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Belal Muhammadal said that he'll win the first three rounds. So Belal Muhammad win by KO in rounds one, two, and three plus,300.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.57
Muhammad’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.00
JM
Jack Della Maddalena
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Jack Della Maddalena
v Belal Muhammad
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think Jack Della Maddalena wins by round 3 KO specifically.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.65
→
close$2.65
Maddalena’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $8.00
MB
Modestas Bukauskas
v Ion Cuțelaba
METHOD
WON
—
Modestas Bukauskas
v Ion Cuțelaba
METHOD
WON
—
“Modestas Bukauskas by submission. Both guys have been going to takedowns a lot.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.09
→
close$2.09
Bukauskas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted