Choose a fight to analyse
JM
BM
Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight
VS
MF
Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
AZ
JA
Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight
NS
AG
Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
BD
KP
Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight
MM
CR
Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight
JJ
JA
Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MB
IC
Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
NS
IE
Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
BS
Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DS
LJ
Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
BA
BK
Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight
VS
MF
Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
AZ
JA
Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight
NS
AG
Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
BD
KP
Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight
MM
CR
Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight
JJ
JA
Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
MB
IC
Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
NS
IE
Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MB
BS
Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DS
LJ
Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
BA
BK
Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Della Maddalena
over Muhammad · Welterweight
Our fair value$2.70
ESPN BET
pays above fair
$2.75
Best prices · Della Maddalena
ESPN BET · US
$2.75
Unibet (UK) · UK
$2.70
Pinnacle · EU
$2.74
TABtouch · AU
$2.70
Where to back Della Maddalena
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.70
US
EB
ESPN BET
$2.75
+2%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$2.70
-0%
Unibet (UK)
$2.70
-0%
EU
Pinnacle
$2.74
+1%
Pinnacle
$2.74
+1%
AU
TABtouch
$2.70
-0%
TABtouch
$2.70
-0%
How it endsmethod calls · Della Maddalena · crowd line
KO/TKO
74
$3.29
Decision
15
$16.22
None
1
$243.33
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Della Maddalena 18-3
VS
24-5 Muhammad
5'11"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
73"
reach
72"
29
age
37
Switch
stance
Orthodox
6.7
strikes landed / min
4.5
53%
striking accuracy
47%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.5
66%
striking defence
59%
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
4.0
16%
takedown accuracy
46%
70%
takedown defence
77%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 36%
Consensus84 of 220 analysts
Sharpest angleDella Maddalena by KO/TKO — 74 of 90 method calls
Recommendation
Back Della Maddalena @ $2.75 · fair $2.70
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammad plus 188 on the money line for Belal Muhammad”
$2.88
Capper Comparison Picks picks Belal Muhammad
“Belal Muhammad plus 188 on the money line for Belal Muhammad”
$2.88
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jack Della Maddalena VALUE
“So, I'm taking Jack Della Maddalena plus60.”
$1.60
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jack Della Maddalena VALUE
“So, I'm taking Jack Della Maddalena plus60.”
$1.60
LP
Lonely Stoners Podcast picks Belal Muhammad
“Yeah, I have Belal Muhammad is just going to do what he needs Belal Muhammad”
Lonely Stoners Podcast picks Belal Muhammad
“Yeah, I have Belal Muhammad is just going to do what he needs Belal Muhammad”
CO
Covers picks Belal Muhammad
“Uh Bal Muhammad on the other hand, I believe is is more complete. He has more ways to win the fight and he has he always put a relent relentless pressure on his opponent that makes them fight on their heels. I think that's what he needs to do to win”
$1.53
Covers picks Belal Muhammad
“Uh Bal Muhammad on the other hand, I believe is is more complete. He has more ways to win the fight and he has he always put a relent relentless pressure on his opponent that makes them fight on their heels. I think that's what he needs to do to win”
$1.53
BM
Blunt MMA picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think he is going to win this fight and I will put him on the parlay time and time again.”
Blunt MMA picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think he is going to win this fight and I will put him on the parlay time and time again.”
UN
Ultimate Fight News picks Belal Muhammad
“I'm going to go with Belal Muhammad.”
Ultimate Fight News picks Belal Muhammad
“I'm going to go with Belal Muhammad.”
UN
Ultimate Fight News picks Jack Della Maddalena
“Kamaru Usman thinks Jack Della Maddalena Della Maddalena can win if he stays aggressive and uses a mix of strikes.”
Ultimate Fight News picks Jack Della Maddalena
“Kamaru Usman thinks Jack Della Maddalena Della Maddalena can win if he stays aggressive and uses a mix of strikes.”
FC
Fight CAT picks Belal Muhammad
“To me personally, I believe Bal's gonna leave with the title.”
Fight CAT picks Belal Muhammad
“To me personally, I believe Bal's gonna leave with the title.”
MT
MMA TODAY picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Belal Muhammad wins five rounds easy against Jack Della Maddalena”
MMA TODAY picks Belal Muhammad VALUE
“I think Belal Muhammad wins five rounds easy against Jack Della Maddalena”
KI
Kevin Iole picks Jack Della Maddalena
“I believe I can beat him.”
Kevin Iole picks Jack Della Maddalena
“I believe I can beat him.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Della Maddalena18-3
L
Prates
May '26
L
Makhachev
Nov '25
W
Muhammad
May '25
W
Burns
Mar '24
W
Holland
Sep '23
Muhammad24-5
L
Bonfim
Jun '26
L
Garry
Nov '25
L
Maddalena
May '25
W
Edwards
Jul '24
W
Burns
May '23