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UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
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JM BM Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight VS MF Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AZ JA Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight NS AG Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BD KP Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight MM CR Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight JJ JA Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MB IC Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NS IE Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB BS Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight DS LJ Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BA BK Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Shevchenko over Fiorot · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$1.81 Pinnacle pays above fair $2.15
Where to back Shevchenko best price · region · EV vs fair $1.81
US BetOnline.ag $2.11 +16%
UK Paddy Power $2.10 +16%
EU Pinnacle $2.15 +19%
AU SportsBet $2.10 +16%
Consensus151 picks · conf 99/99
Shevchenko 109
42 Fiorot
ISTFSM pick Shevchenko
How it endsmethod calls · Shevchenko · crowd line
KO/TKO 7 $13.20
Submission 3 $30.80
Decision 41 $2.25
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Shevchenko 24-4-1 VS 12-2 Fiorot
5'5" height 5'7"
124 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 65"
38 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 2.6
52% striking accuracy 43%
2.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
64% striking defence 72%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
64% takedown accuracy 54%
71% takedown defence 64%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 2.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market55% vs 47%
Consensus109 of 151 analysts
Sharpest angleShevchenko by Decision — 41 of 51 method calls
Recommendation Back Shevchenko @ $2.15 · fair $1.81 +19% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Valentina Shevchenko “Valentina Shevchenko is my pick because she has”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “I'm going with the bullet Valentina Shevchenko Valentina Shevchenko Shenko'”
ES etoft21 sports picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE
CS CBS Sports picks Valentina Shevchenko “I'm still back in the old decorated champion because experience matters in this game.”
CS CBS Sports picks Manon Fiorot “Think I've got to back the beast. And I think the odds are quite telling... I do think Manon Fiorot is ready to become the champion.”
TM The Curse MMA picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “Valentina Shevchenko is going to win.”
CO ColdSunday picks Manon Fiorot “I think that she's gonna take this one. I think we're gonna have a new flyweight women's champion tomorrow.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “give me Mann and Fior as the new champion.” $2.20
BU BunkyMMA picks Valentina Shevchenko VALUE “I'm all in on Valentina Shevchenko.” $2.12
LP Lonely Stoners Podcast picks Valentina Shevchenko “I'm picking Valentina Shevchenko for sure.”
BI BigCMMA picks Manon Fiorot “Honestly, man overbite is pretty scary, but I don't think she's going to get that win.”
PN Picks Nation picks Manon Fiorot VALUE “my cash play of the week is going to be Manon Fiorot Fior. So, Manon Fiorot's the pick.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Shevchenko24-4-1
W Weili Decision · R5 Nov '25
W Fiorot Decision · R5 May '25
W Grasso Decision · R5 Sep '24
L Grasso Submission · R4 Mar '23
W Santos Decision · R5 Jun '22
Fiorot12-2
W Jasudavicius KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 May '25
W Blanchfield Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Namajunas Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Chookagian Decision · R3 Oct '22