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UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
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JM BM Maddalena vs MuhammadMain Card · Welterweight VS MF Shevchenko vs FiorotMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AZ JA Zahabi vs AldoMain Card · Featherweight NS AG Silva vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BD KP Denis vs PrepolecMain Card · Lightweight MM CR Malott vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight JJ JA Jasudavicius vs AndradePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MB IC Bukauskas vs CuțelabaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight NS IE Stirling vs ErslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MB BS Barriault vs SilvaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight DS LJ Santos vs Jeong-yeongEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight BA BK Almakhan vs KatonaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Andrade over Jasudavicius · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$3.01 Unibet pays above fair $3.50
Where to back Andrade best price · region · EV vs fair $3.01
US BetOnline.ag $3.50 +16%
UK Grosvenor $3.50 +16%
EU Unibet (EU) $3.50 +16%
AU Unibet $3.50 +16%
Consensus72 picks · conf 76/99
Jasudavicius 41
31 Andrade
MOSSBE pick Jasudavicius
How it endsmethod calls · Andrade · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $4.51
Decision 2 $13.54
None 1 $27.08
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jasudavicius 14-4 VS 26-13 Andrade
5'7" height 5'1"
125 lb weight 116 lb
68" reach 62"
37 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 6.4
49% striking accuracy 50%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
49% striking defence 54%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.2
64% takedown accuracy 54%
60% takedown defence 72%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market33% vs 29%
Consensus31 of 72 analysts
Sharpest angleAndrade by KO/TKO — 6 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Andrade @ $3.50 · fair $3.01 +16% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jasmine Jasudavicius “I'm taking Jasmine Jasudavicius”
TM The Curse MMA picks Jéssica Andrade “Jasmine's going to win pretty easily.”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Jasmine Jasudavicius VALUE “Eu vou de Jéssica para essa luta aí”
BU BunkyMMA picks Jasmine Jasudavicius VALUE “I'm going Jasmine Jasudavicius here.” $1.32
GI Game On ID! picks Jéssica Andrade “No direct quote found for a pick on Jéssica Andrade”
BM Blunt MMA picks Jéssica Andrade “Jessica Andrade looks more like a man. So, we can go with her.”
OZ OzMMA picks Jéssica Andrade VALUE “I'm gonna take Jasmine Judicious”
BE BetSam picks Jasmine Jasudavicius “I'm taking Jasmine Jasmine Jasudavicius here”
MP MMA Brothers Podcast picks Jasmine Jasudavicius “Jéssica Andrade versus Jasmine Jasudavicius. I didn't want to like pick a money line this one because it's a 50-50 fight. Uh, they're a great wrestler, so I pick over 1.5 rounds.”
MP MMA Brothers Podcast picks Jéssica Andrade “Jéssica Andrade versus Jasmine Jasudavicius. I didn't want to like pick a money line this one because it's a 50-50 fight. Uh, they're a great wrestler, so I pick over 1.5 rounds.”
EB ESPN BET picks Jasmine Jasudavicius VALUE “Jasmine Jasudavicius to also win in over one and a half rounds over Jéssica Andrade.”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Jéssica Andrade “If it stays on the feet, I get a little nervous for Jasmine because of the power that Jéssica Andrade has”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jasudavicius14-4
W Silva Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Fiorot KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Andrade Submission · R1 May '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Silva Submission · R3 Nov '24
Andrade26-13
L Godínez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Jasudavicius Submission · R1 May '25
L Silva Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Dern KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23