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P Welsh
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Procházka 2 · breakdown

UFC 303 Pereira vs Prochazka 2 | 06/29/2024 Picks and Previews Full Card Breakdown

PW P Welsh59% hit
24 months ago 12W–1L · +7.9u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
VO Vinicius Oliveira v Ricky Simón MONEYLINE WON
“first pick Vinicius Oliveira boom”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.10 close$3.10
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
RT Rei Tsuruya v Carlos Hernandez MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going with here it's nothing too much against Carlos Hernandez he just doesn't do anything to really wow me and his win conditions I mean granted he has fought some pretty you know good competition I just think this is uh coming in here man it makes it really hard to even gauge because like you're bringing in a guy from another promotion EVENT_DETAILS debut against somebody that's been against the best of the best in the flyweight division but I'm going s Rua um just to get the win here”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.26 close$1.22
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
MB Martin Buday v Andrei Arlovski MONEYLINE WON
“that's why I think Martin Martin Buday Martin Buday here is the pick”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.43 close$1.41
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GR Gillian Robertson v Michelle Waterson-Gomez MONEYLINE WON
“I'm actually kind of leaning more towards Gillian Robertson I think she has that potential to finish um submission KO just get werson Gomez with a lot of damage in a bad position”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.58 close$1.57
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JS Jean Silva v Charles Jourdain MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to go pick Jean Silva Silva”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.05
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
AF Andre Fili v Cub Swanson MONEYLINE WON
“I got Andre Fili Andre Fili here he did get knocked out by Dan Ige 50k eay um but Cub Swanson Swanson I mean he's got a chance but I really just don't think he has what it takes to beat somebody that has the caliber of technical ability of Andre Fili Andre Fili I think he'll come in there wanting to avenge that loss that he had to eay you know he made Lucas almea look pretty bad you know he beat Billo like that is not bad but he's got a lot of losses on his record that ain't that ain't a surprise but I think he's going to come out here and get a win”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.48
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
JP Joe Pyfer v Marc-André Barriault MONEYLINE WON
“the pick is Joe Pyfer Pyfer here”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.40 close$1.36
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
IG Ian Machado Garry v Michael Page MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking Ian Machado Garry Machado Garry here all day”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.88 close$1.88
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
MC Macy Chiasson v Mayra Bueno Silva MONEYLINE WON
“I like Macy Chiasson CH on I think uh Mayra Bueno Silva Silva got ahead of herself she has a great win condition against Fighters that I think can't handle themselves but I think against tougher competition she struggles with that explosiveness and with that ability to dominate somebody that is willing to to throw it all on the line as well um this one's going to be close because Chason has taken a couple you know but the last time she she she looked really good she looked strong she's going to have a big advantage in the Striking and the reach department and I think in a pick them fight I'm going that is going to be my angle I got Macy Chiasson CH on with the metrics with the length able to control Mayra Bueno Silva Silva get enough reversals she might have to press for a finish get herself in the bad positions and if you're having the roote for Mayra Bueno Silva Silva to come from behind that's not really where I want to be”
Line since pick CLV +38%
◆ entry$2.70 close$1.95
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish
AS Anthony Smith v Roman Dolidze MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm picking Smith here if do is d g to get the job done then he's going to job done minus 142 Smith going off as a dog here and I mean I just don't like I'm not I'm not picking Roman Dolidze Dolidze as a favorite there the three- round fight I mean that could be but like that also is going to have the urgency and there's levels to this game man like my guy my guy just proved he couldn't raise his level to somebody the middleweight nardine IM evolve I'm going Anthony Smith lionhardt Smith here probably by decision”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.25 close$2.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
DL Diego Lopes v Dan Ige MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking him to win if he wins by submission I wouldn't be surprised if he wins by KO I wouldn't be surprised if he wins by decision I wouldn't be surprised”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
AP Alex Pereira v Jiří Procházka MONEYLINE WON
“I got Alex Pereira all day I'm picking Alex Pereira I think uh the rematch goes his way I think the better fighter won the first time I think the better fighter is going to win this time and I think Alex Pereira is going to stamp himself into EVENT_DETAILS lore uh with possibly another KO win”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.72 close$1.72
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
PT Payton Talbott v Yanis Ghemmouri MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking him let's just be honest but I'm going to try and make a case for Giannis here because he has had some rescheduled bouts against some pretty all right uh competition so they they understand that there's some there's some Talent there right there's there's potential and I think he's really going to show a lot of potential here against talbet you know he could look strong in the first round as talbet adjust I think that this is when he wins more later on in the fight talbat does minus 1600 Giannis has a chance to go early I mean maybe catch Payton Talbott in a position that he hasn't been in I'm not saying that uh he's super experienced himself but I really like tala has a chance you know he he's finishing everybody man he's going in there and throwing hands he's not looking to go to the judges he's not looking to do anything else he's he's got to he's going to win right but what what can Giannis Gori goru gri do 29 years old same metrics loses by submission has been ko'ed before wins by Split Decision he's got to get the fight to go dirty he's got to get the fight to go long he's got to get Payton Talbott uncomfortable he's going to have to throw the significant strikes you know he's don't really do takedowns what's he going to do let's see what he can do see what he can do they don't have his grappling stats up there unfortunately I got Payton Talbott all day”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.11 close$1.07
entry: Tipico (US) · best in any region at publish