UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.68
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
IC
Ion Cuțelaba
v Navajo Stirling
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ion Cuțelaba
v Navajo Stirling
MONEYLINE
LOST
“So listen, we're taking a shot on Ion Cuțelaba.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.75
→
close$3.75
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
AF
Andre Fili
v Vinicius Oliveira
MONEYLINE
LOST
Andre Fili
v Vinicius Oliveira
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Andre Fili by decision plus 470 is what calls my”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$3.50
→
close$3.54
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
AF
Andre Fili
v Vinicius Oliveira
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Andre Fili
v Vinicius Oliveira
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“Andre Fili by decision plus 470 is what calls my”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$3.50
→
close$3.54
Fili’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.70
VO
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
“my pick is going to be Vinicius Oliveira. to to land a knockdown and a knockout before the fight's over.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.37
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
HA
Hyder Amil
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Hyder Amil
v Christian Rodriguez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the answer is yes. Hyder Amil plus 170.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.74
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AL
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I got André Lima to win this fight however he needs.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
“The way I envision this fight is Murtazali Magomedov eventually deciding not to want to mess around on the feet with Melsik Baghdasaryan and just finding a way to submit him at some point.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MB
Melsik Baghdasaryan
v Murtazali Magomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Melsik Baghdasaryan
v Murtazali Magomedov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Melsik Baghdasaryan and Melsik Baghdasaryan by knockout”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.90
→
close$3.90
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.18
→
close$1.20
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Aswell Jr.
v Gastón Bolaños
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Michael Aswell Jr. round two round three KO? What's the price guru? Uh two three or I think it's one two. No, he fought a guy that had no hand last fight, so I don't think he does it that fast. Gastón Bolaños is not that bad. I don't know. Gastón Bolaños been knocked out round two. He's been finished uh three four times all in round one or round two. Um been subbed three times, I think. This Yeah. So, it's the knockout is what we're looking the knockout came round two from Marcus McGee. Yeah. So, my thought is like one, he's been slowing down. He's 34 years old. He's moving up a weight class. He's fighting a guy that's relentless out by Quang Bang. Yeah. Relentless pace and pressure like Michael Aswell Jr. is not going to stop throwing and you know while anytime he's faced like a higher level striker we've seen that”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Aswell Jr.
v Gastón Bolaños
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Michael Aswell Jr. round two round three KO? What's the price guru? Uh two three or I think it's one two. No, he fought a guy that had no hand last fight, so I don't think he does it that fast. Gastón Bolaños is not that bad. I don't know. Gastón Bolaños been knocked out round two. He's been finished uh three four times all in round one or round two. Um been subbed three times, I think. This Yeah. So, it's the knockout is what we're looking the knockout came round two from Marcus McGee. Yeah. So, my thought is like one, he's been slowing down. He's 34 years old. He's moving up a weight class. He's fighting a guy that's relentless out by Quang Bang. Yeah. Relentless pace and pressure like Michael Aswell Jr. is not going to stop throwing and you know while anytime he's faced like a higher level striker we've seen that”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
Jr.’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.08
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish


