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UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · breakdown

UFC 312 - Strickland vs Du Plessis Full Card Breakdown

FM FATALITY MMA57% hit
17 months ago 7W–4L · +1.4u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
QS Quillan Salkilld v Anshul Jubli MONEYLINE WON
“Quillan Salkilld versus Anshul Jubli I'll take a cult I'm not explaining myself because I don't need to confidence rating I guess Anshul Jubli”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.18 close$1.18
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
KJ Kevin Jousset v Jonathan Micallef MONEYLINE LOST
“Jonathan Micallef versus Kevin Jousset I'm going to take Kevin Joussetousset shocker wow holy [ __ ] hold on to your [ __ ] hats right confidence 5 out of 10”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.43 close$1.45
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
KS Kody Steele v Rong Zhu MONEYLINE LOST
“Rong Zhu versus Kody Steele rangu is not a good Prospect he's had a lot of chances he [ __ ] sucks I'll take Cody steel five out of 10 who cares on to the next one”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
WC Wang Cong v Bruna Brasil MONEYLINE WON
“I am going to take Wang Cong this is kind of a weird fight again women's divisions are always a little bit harder for me I'll take Wang Kong uh five out of 10”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.29
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
TN Tom Nolan v Viacheslav Borshchev MONEYLINE WON
“I'm GNA take Tom Nolan even though borchev is I think he's actually really good but I'm going to take Tom Nolan and I'm not crazy confident because I think that the only way that he does get it done is by early finish borchev leaves openings and when like when he fought Hooper Hooper knocked him down like with an overhand like it was kind of it looked kind of like a fluky overhand but he leaves openings and Tom Nolan's kind of a sniper he's bigger he's very aggressive early”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$2.02 close$2.15
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JJ Jack Jenkins v Gabriel Santos MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm taking Jack Jenkins um I rate him pretty highly Gabriel Santos I think in his debut he looked really good Jack Jenkins gives me he's very complete he he can do everything very very well I think he's one of the better prospects on on the in so's Gabriel Santos though this is a hard fight to pick I'm going to take Jack Jenkins minus 225 is I see this fight being pretty close to be honest uh do not bet on this fight”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.02 close$3.02
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JM Jake Matthews v Francisco Prado MONEYLINE WON
“I'll take Jake Matthews he's more technical Francisco pra doesn't have finishing ability should stay standing Jake Matthews in his home spot”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.46 close$1.46
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
TT Tallison Teixeira v Justin Tafa MONEYLINE WON
“I'll take Tallison Teixeira um I think the tofa brothers are [ __ ] terrible I think they're really bad tierah had I've watched a couple fights I watched his Contender series fight I wasn't impressed he's just tall he's like a heavyweight sniper but like not a good one awful tattoos I don't know why I'm so like hung up on the tattoos right now but Jesus Christ like what what the hell is going on I'll take Tallison Teixeira uh Justin Tafa's been ko'ed before and he's pretty short in this matchup”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.72
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
TS Tatiana Suarez v Zhang Weili MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to take Tatiana Suarez I'm decently confident I guess weie Jong has been slowing down from my estimation she's not as active I got the flag wrong too she's not Australian she's from China obviously I'll take Tatiana Suarez I think she's a better Grappler I think that way Le when she when waye went back and fought uh in the second row fight she was getting held down she's not as dominant as she used to be she doesn't have as much finishing ability anymore”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight
DP Dricus du Plessis v Sean Strickland MONEYLINE WON
“I'll take d let's see man there won't be a finish if there is somehow some way it'll be by like some boring like Sean Strickland's mounted and dricus is just like Landing short little hooks while he's postured up and like oh wow and still who cares or like Sean Strickland will get tired through like a grapple exchange and they'll go down and Dricus du Plessis somehow gets like a rear naked choke or something like I don't care is what I'm trying to say Sean Strickland is probably going going into this with a lot of hard feelings and trus probably is not I think that plays into dri's favor Dricus du Plessis is is the best [ __ ] fighter we've probably ever seen he's terrible but he beats everybody why does that why would that stop now you know he's younger he's physically imposing”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.48 close$1.50
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AT Aleksandre Topuria v Colby Thicknesse MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take the Aleksandre Topuria brother if you look at Aleksandre Topuria is it Aleksandre Topuria I don't know if you look at tor's record the one loss he has on his record is to someone who had a huge size advantage over him some guy who's like very it looked like he was like on every steroid under the sun he took like a 5year break after that and then he just rolled through everybody else people make fun of him because the records of the guys that he's fought haven't been very good but he's steamrolled all of them to be fair like it hasn't been something where like oh he's fighting like cans and he's like going tit fortat with him no like he's lit doing whatever the [ __ ] he wants to these guys the only time that we've seen Aleksandre Topuria struggle is against a guy who has kind of a size advantage against him and is more physically imposing look at these two guys you know like thess has mixed in takedowns before but tapua has a the same wrestling background as his brother Ilia so I don't really hold much value to the kind of grappling ex changes because I think Aleksandre Topuria is I think he'll probably be the better Grappler in this matchup I think - 375 might be a little bit crazy but we'll see I guess first fun fight on the card took a little while but 6 out of 10 because uh who knows”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.31 close$1.31
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish