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UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · breakdown

My UFC 315 FULL CARD PREDICTIONS

CE CeilingMMA60% hit
14 months ago 2W–9L
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DS Daniel Santos v Lee Jeong-yeong PROP · DECISION WON
“I think he's going to Charles Radtke max his way to a split decision win. I'm going to say based off maybe the last two rounds.”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
MB Marc-André Barriault v Bruno Silva PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to say based off maybe the last two rounds. Okay. Marc-André Barriault, Bruno Silva. Um, Bruno Silva has looked like really bad ever since the Pereira fight. Hesitant. He's not as good as he once was. And Marc-André Barriault, I think he got knocked out his last fight maybe. And he has not looked as good recently, but this is a home crowd for him. And I just think he's going to wear on Bruno Silva and get this done by late. We'll say decision decision to mark Andre Baru.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.71 close$1.67
Barriault’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NS Navajo Stirling v Ivan Erslan PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to say Sterling is going to KO him in the second round. He's quite composed in there. He's big for he is pretty big at light heavyweight and um he's got the r the uh the big reach advantage here actually and you know yeah I think I think he's going to he's going to stick and move here and eventually he'll catch Ivan Erslan with something in the second round.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.36 close$1.33
Stirling’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IC Ion Cuțelaba v Modestas Bukauskas PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm still going to go with Ion Cuțelaba. I think because Modestas Bukauskas knees are not good. We know that because of the Khalil fight. Basically like snapped his knee. That was [ __ ] scary, man. Um and I so I think that will mean he struggles to stuff the takedowns of Coutalaba and Modestas Bukauskas kind of builds into a fight you know and Coutalaba can just take you down and ground behind you straight away and also if you look at their recent performances okay beat Cera but Sirra is terrible whereas Coutalaba like actually destroyed or not destroyed but like really beat up Evo Alan. I think Ivan Erslan was a pretty good prospect also going into that fight. Most people picked him. So, I'm going to go with Ion Cuțelabaa by like I'll say decision, but he could TKO him on the ground.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.90
Cuțelaba’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JJ Jasmine Jasudavicius v Jéssica Andrade PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think Jasmine Jasudavicius is going to win this by a decision. Uh, I don't think Jéssica Andrade is as imposing or as strong at flyweight as she is at straw weight. She's falling off a little bit. I also think and uh, Jasmine Jasudavicius, I think, is going to be able to mix up with the striking and the grappling, which Aaron Blanchfield did, which was why I feel like she had success against Andraj. And Judicious is also rangier than her, bigger. I think she's gonna be able to pick her apart. And also when she gets on the ground, she's going to have that advantage. I'm going to go Jasmine Jasudavicius wins this by decision. Plus, it's a home crowd.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.37
Jasudavicius’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM Mike Malott v Charles Radtke PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think he's going to go out there and he's going to win this by a split decision kicking up range keeping Charles Radtke at distance. Uh yeah, Mike Malott by decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.61 close$1.62
Malott’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BD Benoît Saint Denis v Kyle Prepolec PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis by like round one KO.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.11 close$1.11
Denis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AG Alexa Grasso v Natália Silva PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think I'm going to go Alexa Grasso by decision, making it scrappy.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.15 close$3.25
Grasso’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VS Valentina Shevchenko v Manon Fiorot PROP · DECISION WON
“I think Fior strike nah nah it's it's just not going to happen is itchenko wins this by decision I swear you better win this Valentina cuz I was very much considering not picking you so you better you better [ __ ] win this mate I'm telling you right now you better win this”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.20
Shevchenko’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JA José Aldo v Aiemann Zahabi PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going with José Aldo. I think by like a third round TKO, maybe he lands something good to the body.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.52 close$1.57
Aldo’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM Jack Della Maddalena v Belal Muhammad PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going with Jack De Madena. ... I think Jack Della Maddalena is going to find the KO on Belal Muhammad in the third round.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.75 close$2.65
Maddalena’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted