UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · breakdown
FULL BREAKDOWN & MATCH PREDICTION FOR UFC VEGAS 117 FIGHT NIGHT ALLEN VS COSTA Saturday May 16
TS
The Sports Scientist 53% hit
1 month ago
5W–13L · -2.8u
18/20 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SB
Shauna Bannon
v Nicolle Caliari
MONEYLINE
LOST
Shauna Bannon
v Nicolle Caliari
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm gonna say Sha Shaun O Bannon to win by decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.45
→
close$3.45
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
SB
Shauna Bannon
v Nicolle Caliari
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Shauna Bannon
v Nicolle Caliari
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm gonna say Sha Shaun O Bannon to win by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.45
→
close$3.45
Bannon’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LG
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
MONEYLINE
WON
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
MONEYLINE
WON
“back against the wall, Luis Gurule is going to win by decision here”
Line since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.91
→
close$1.75
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
LG
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
PROP · DECISION
WON
Luis Gurule
v Daniel Barez
PROP · DECISION
WON
“back against the wall, Luis Gurule is going to win by decision here”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.91
→
close$1.75
Gurule’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AA
Alice Ardelean
v Polyana Viana
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Alice Ardelean
v Polyana Viana
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to go with Alice Ardelean by decision here”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.53
Ardelean’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AA
Alice Ardelean
v Polyana Viana
MONEYLINE
WON
Alice Ardelean
v Polyana Viana
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go with Alice Ardelean by decision here”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.53
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
CB
Cody Brundage
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
Cody Brundage
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go ahead and take Cody Brundage here by second round sub”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.82
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
JC
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
v Ketlen Vieira
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
v Ketlen Vieira
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to take Jacqueline Cavalcanti to win by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.63
Cavalcanti’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JC
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
v Ketlen Vieira
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
v Ketlen Vieira
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to take Jacqueline Cavalcanti to win by decision”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.67
→
close$1.63
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.54
→
now$1.54
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
TT
Tuco Tokkos
v Ivan Erslan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Tuco Tokkos
v Ivan Erslan
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'll take too close to win by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
Tokkos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
KW
Khaos Williams
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON
Khaos Williams
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to take Khaos Williams to win here”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.93
→
close$1.95
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
TC
Timothy Cuamba
v Bernardo Sopaj
MONEYLINE
LOST
Timothy Cuamba
v Bernardo Sopaj
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I just see I just I see Timothy Cuamba winning here. I'm going to say decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.35
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
MB
Modestas Bukauskas
v Rodolfo Bellato
MONEYLINE
Modestas Bukauskas
v Rodolfo Bellato
MONEYLINE
“I'm still going to take Modestas Bukauskas to win by uh by first or second round TKO”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.94
→
now$1.94
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MW
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“look for Malcolm Wellmaker to settle in in the second round and KO Juan Díaz”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.40
Wellmaker’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MW
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
MONEYLINE
LOST
Malcolm Wellmaker
v Juan Díaz
MONEYLINE
LOST
“look for Malcolm Wellmaker to settle in in the second round and KO Juan Díaz”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.43
→
close$1.40
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
DS
Daniel Santos
v Choi Doo-ho
MONEYLINE
LOST
Daniel Santos
v Choi Doo-ho
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to say Daniel Santos wins late sub here”
Line since pick
CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.64
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to say that Melquizael Costa wins by decision”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.30
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Melquizael Costa
v Arnold Allen
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to say that Melquizael Costa wins by decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.30
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted