UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · breakdown
UFC Mexico: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Preview Show
SP
Sparring Sessions Podcast49% hit
4 months ago
5W–9L · -4.8u
14/16 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
EK
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · DECISION
Ernesta Kareckaitė
v Sofia Montenegro
PROP · DECISION
“I'm probably going to go with Ernesta Kareckaitė Kerakata, uh, by decision here.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −15%
◆ entry$1.37
→
now$1.62
Kareckaitė’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
PROP · DECISION
WON
Ailín Pérez
v Macy Chiasson
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'm saying Ailín Pérez wins a decision over Macy Chiasson.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.62
Pérez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.20
→
now$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
SL
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Santiago Luna
v Angel Pacheco
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think Santiago Luna will be able to knock him out in this fight under one and a half rounds.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.21
Luna’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.20
IR
Imanol Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Imanol Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I think Imanol Rodríguez knocks him out in this fight in the second or third round.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.26
→
close$1.24
Rodríguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Édgar Cháirez
v Felipe Bunes
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“Édgar Cháirez is probably going to put it on Felipe Bunes. Probably finish, too.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.34
Cháirez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DZ
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Daniel Zellhuber
v King Green
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“give me Daniel Zellhuber by decision here.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.22
Zellhuber’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.20
DM
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
PROP · DECISION
WON
David Martínez
v Marlon Vera
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I think he's going to dominate Marlon Vera to a decision. 30 27 20 maybe 129 28 but 30 27's across the board.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.38
Martínez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MV
Marlon Vera
v David Martínez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Marlon Vera
v David Martínez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I think he can win a decision against David David Martínez.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$3.35
→
close$3.65
Vera’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KM
Kris Moutinho
v Cristian Quiñonez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Kris Moutinho
v Cristian Quiñonez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I'm going to go Kris Moutinho here... give me him my submission.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$6.00
→
close$6.25
Moutinho’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.20
DP
Damian Pinas
v Wesley Schultz
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Damian Pinas
v Wesley Schultz
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I'm on Damian Pinas to be honest... I'm going to say Damian Pinas TKO in round two is my where I'm kind of thinking”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.42
Pinas’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
WS
Wesley Schultz
v Damian Pinas
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going to take Wesley Schultz here to to get a silhouette stretch like that... I'm going to go Wesley Schultz here. Wouldn't be surprised if he got a weird submission.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.20
→
close$3.30
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
FM
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Francis Marshall
v Erik Silva
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm going to go with Francis Marshall... he's going to knock him out within the first two rounds.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.20
→
close$1.17
Marshall’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Brandon Moreno
v Lone'er Kavanagh
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“he loses to Brandon Brandon Moreno... I'm thinking like a 49 46 decision”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.53
Moreno’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CQ
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
Cristian Quiñonez
v Kris Moutinho
PROP · DECISION
WON
—
“I think I'm going to go with Cristian Quiñonez to win... I think I'm leaning towards a decision here”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
Quiñonez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.15
JR
Javier Reyes
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Javier Reyes
v Douglas Silva de Andrade
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“I'm going to go with Javier Reyes... Javier Reyes is going to be able to win this fight by decision, I think.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.47
Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.42