UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · breakdown
FREE UFC Fight Night Picks for Saturday, 6/14/25
TP
Tony's Picks54% hit
12 months ago
5W–6L · +6.5u
11/13 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JH
Jamey-Lyn Horth
v Tereza Bledá
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
Jamey-Lyn Horth
v Tereza Bledá
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
“if you have to bet on something in this fight, I would say Jamey-Jamey-Lyn Horth. She's sitting at what plus 800 to win by knockout TKO.”
Analyst’s stated line
$9.00
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
PR
Philip Rowe
v Ange Loosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Philip Rowe
v Ange Loosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“I definitely lean Phil row. I'm seeing plus money with him at plus 105.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.35
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CS
Cameron Smotherman
v Ricky Simón
MONEYLINE
LOST
Cameron Smotherman
v Ricky Simón
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think it's Cameron Cameron Smothermanman or Pass.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$5.00
→
close$5.00
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
CD
Cody Durden
v Jose Ochoa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Cody Durden
v Jose Ochoa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Deran's the pick I think for me there. Plus 160.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.60
→
close$2.65
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
KM
Kris Moutinho
v Malcolm Wellmaker
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Kris Moutinho
v Malcolm Wellmaker
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“This fight to go the distance, you know, a 3027 uh Malcolm Wellmaker striking clinic, which is what we're probably going to see, is uh plus 425. I mean, tons of value right there.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$12.00
→
close$12.00
Moutinho’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.25
MC
Michael Chiesa
v Court McGee
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Michael Chiesa
v Court McGee
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“my bet would be McGee to gas. So, you know, Michael Chiesa in round three sitting at 9 to1.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.30
Chiesa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
PC
Paul Craig
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
Paul Craig
v Rodolfo Bellato
PROP · SUBMISSION
VALUE
“just simply Craig by submission sitting at plus 525. I think you got to look there if you want to touch this fight.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$4.29
→
now$4.25
Craig’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.25
OS
Oumar Sy
v Alonzo Menifield
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Oumar Sy
v Alonzo Menifield
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I do like the knockout prop for him. What, plus 265 is not that bad. I I'll definitely look there.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.23
→
close$1.16
Sy’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.65
MA
Mansur Abdul-Malik
v Cody Brundage
PROP · DECISION
WON
Mansur Abdul-Malik
v Cody Brundage
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I'd be lying to you if I said I didn't look at that decision. Plus 650 for Abdul Malik.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.24
→
close$1.14
Abdul-Malik’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $7.50
CG
Cody Garbrandt
v Raoni Barcelos
MONEYLINE
LOST
Cody Garbrandt
v Raoni Barcelos
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think at plus 170 you got to take a flyer on Cody Garbrandt.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.09
→
close$3.09
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
ES
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
Edmen Shahbazyan
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
WON
“I got to link Petroski in this fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.71
→
close$1.71
entry: Everygame · best in any region at publish
RN
Rose Namajunas
v Miranda Maverick
MONEYLINE
WON
Rose Namajunas
v Miranda Maverick
MONEYLINE
WON
“Miranda Maverick for sure is the pick for me at the uh value.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.48
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
KU
Kamaru Usman
v Joaquin Buckley
MONEYLINE
WON
Kamaru Usman
v Joaquin Buckley
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm leaning Usman here at this plus price.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.46
→
close$3.46
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish