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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · breakdown

BURNS VS. MORALES | FULL CARD PREVIEW & PREDICTIONS

13 months ago 5W–8L · -4.1u 13/17 graded

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

TP

Tecia Pennington v Luana Pinheiro MONEYLINE WON

“I have Pennington in this fight just because I mean she's going to decision. She's not really getting beat or when she does lose, she's not getting finished. Well, Luana Pinheiro Luana Pinheiro has got finished recently, so that's why I'm just going to go with Bennington.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.29 → close$1.29

entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish

CH

Carlos Hernandez v Park Hyun-sung MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm just going to have to go with the veteran. Carlos Hernandez has a lot more fights in the UFC compared to Park Hyun-sung uh Hung Park.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$2.43 → close$2.43

entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)

DG

Denise Gomes v Elise Reed MONEYLINE WON

“I'll take Denise to to win this.”

Line since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.18 → close$1.19

entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish

LP

Luana Pinheiro v Tecia Pennington MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm going to go with the with the with steak and I and I think Luana Santos might win.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$3.80 → close$3.80

entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish

YV

Yadier Del Valle v Connor Matthews PROP · KO/TKO VALUE

“I have Yadier Del Valle by knockout.”

Analyst’s stated line $1.19

analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight

CM

Connor Matthews v Yadier Del Valle MONEYLINE

“Metal Corner is a plus three 390.”

Line since pick —

no market data captured for this fight

TM

Thiago Moisés v Jared Gordon PROP · SUBMISSION LOST

“I think Thiago Moisés is going to win like uh with that. He's going to end end up taking this fight to the ground and he'll end up submitting U Jared.”

Moneyline since pick CLV −2%

◆ entry$2.10 → close$2.15

Moisés’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

JG

Jared Gordon v Thiago Moisés MONEYLINE WON

“I have Jared Gordon winning just because I mean recently you could look back at all the decisions he's lost and you could argue he actually won them.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.87 → close$1.87

entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish

MC

Matheus Camilo v Gabriel Green MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm going to stick to my heart and just say Mattz.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.46 → close$1.46

entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish

MC

Melquizael Costa v Julian Erosa PROP · SUBMISSION LOST

“I'll go Melquizael Costa as well by by submission.”

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.57 → close$1.59

Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted

JE

Julian Erosa v Melquizael Costa MONEYLINE LOST

“But I'm taking Julian Erosa for that one.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$2.60 → close$2.60

entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish

NR

Nursulton Ruziboev v Dustin Stoltzfus MONEYLINE WON

“Nursulton Ruziboev is gonna win.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.43 → close$1.43

entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish

RB

Rodolfo Bellato v Paul Craig MONEYLINE

“This is 100% a fight for Rodolfo Rodolfo Bellato to win.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.18 → now$1.18

entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)

PC

Paul Craig v Rodolfo Bellato PROP · SUBMISSION VALUE

“Paul Crack by submission plays pays plus 750.”

Analyst’s stated line $8.50

analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight

MM

Michael Morales v Gilbert Burns MONEYLINE WON

“I'm taking Gilbert Burns just because.”

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.18 → close$1.18

entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish

GB

Gilbert Burns v Michael Morales MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm taking Gilbert Burns just because.”

Line since pick CLV −8%

◆ entry$6.50 → close$7.10

entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish

DS

Dustin Stoltzfus v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE LOST —

“Sultan Rousay. Definitely going to win that fight.”

Line since pick CLV −4%

◆ entry$3.40 → close$3.56

entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish