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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown

UFC Vegas 119: Locks & TRAPS | Kape vs Horiguchi 2

TM Topside MMA62% hit
2 weeks ago 7W–5L · -2.3u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AL André Lima v Kevin Borjas MONEYLINE LOST
“got to go with André Lima. More ways to win. I think he has the better durability, power finishing upside.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
SC Shane Collins v Otari Tanzilovi MONEYLINE WON
“got to ride with Shane Collins just because I think he's going to be winning the big moments here. He might not get a finish, but this man walks people down. I like Shane Collins's aggression. So, got to ride with Shane Collins.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.57
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
MM Murtazali Magomedov v Melsik Baghdasaryan MONEYLINE WON
“I like Murtazali Magomedov this week. I think he has a clear path. Got to be the pick for for me this week.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MM Murtazali Magomedov v Melsik Baghdasaryan PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“He should be able to take Melsik Baghdasaryan down and choke his ass out.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
Magomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MK Manel Kape v Kyoji Horiguchi MONEYLINE WON
“I have to ride with Manel Kape here just because he has five rounds to work.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.63 close$1.68
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
BM Beatriz Mesquita v Melissa Mullins MONEYLINE WON
“High confidence pick for our girl Beia Mosquita here, just because Beatriz Mesquita, she's one of these girls where obviously we know she has elite grappling and that's something we do not have to worry about.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.20
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MJ Michael Aswell Jr. v Gastón Bolaños MONEYLINE LOST
“But like I said, Michael Aswell Jr., he's fighting with a better level of competition. He has the far better durability. He has the wrestling that he could use in this type of a spot, and I think he's going to improve more from fight to fight.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
KR Karol Rosa v Luana Santos MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Karol Rosa warrants the pick because of the level of competition she's had. She's far more experienced and I feel like she's in her physical prime right now versus a girl like Luana Santos.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.95
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
AF Andre Fili v Vinicius Oliveira MONEYLINE LOST
“I do have Vinicius Oliveira as the pick. Maybe I'm being too soft here. Maybe I'm just not quite taking the the plunge here and pick flipping to take the dog here. But I think there's a good argument to be made for Andre Fili this week.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$3.35 close$3.54
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
AN Allan Nascimento v Mitch Raposo MONEYLINE LOST
“slight ride for Allan Nascimento, I guess, but this is not a hill that I'm dying on this week.”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.53 close$1.62
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
NS Navajo Stirling v Ion Cuțelaba MONEYLINE WON
“Still riding with Navajo Stirling ever so slightly. I don't know if Enan Coutava is going to be able to just take him down like we saw against NOT_IN_ROSTER_59.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
CR Christian Rodriguez v Hyder Amil MONEYLINE WON
“I have to ride with Christian Rodriguez. Even though I love Hyder, I just feel like Christian Rodriguez at this point is going to be the best version of him we've ever seen. And I think he likely gets the job done.”
Line since pick CLV +8%
◆ entry$1.65 close$1.53
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish