UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SN
Stewart Nicoll
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Stewart Nicoll
v Jesús Santos Aguilar
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I would probably go dog or pass honestly or I would be going nickel by finish”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.50
Nicoll’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JA
Jesús Santos Aguilar
v Stewart Nicoll
MONEYLINE
WON
Jesús Santos Aguilar
v Stewart Nicoll
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go lean agular for this one”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$3.00
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.53
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
RG
Ricky Glenn
v Song Kenan
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ricky Glenn
v Song Kenan
MONEYLINE
LOST
“it's more a play against rooky Glenn then it is a play for S Kanan”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.62
→
close$2.62
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
AR
Alex Reyes
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
Alex Reyes
v Tom Nolan
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Reyes is not good and Nolan should absolutely knock this guy out”
Line since pick
CLV −30%
◆ entry$9.50
→
close$13.50
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.09
→
close$1.09
Nolan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
HB
Herbert Burns
v Jack Jenkins
MONEYLINE
LOST
Herbert Burns
v Jack Jenkins
MONEYLINE
LOST
“he's got a world class ground game and that's what kind of scares me here”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.75
→
close$6.75
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
JJ
Jack Jenkins
v Herbert Burns
MONEYLINE
WON
Jack Jenkins
v Herbert Burns
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think Jack Jenkins will have enough brains to not go to the ground with him”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.14
→
close$1.17
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
LS
Luana Santos
v Casey O'Neill
MONEYLINE
LOST
Luana Santos
v Casey O'Neill
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I think Luana Santos decent enough Grappler uh good at grinding I guess but she's not a very good Striker”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.75
→
close$1.82
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
CO
Casey O'Neill
v Luana Santos
MONEYLINE
WON
Casey O'Neill
v Luana Santos
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm taking a dog and I think Casey O'Neill might even grow as a bigger Underdog”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.35
→
close$2.28
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
LJ
Li Jingliang
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
Li Jingliang
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I like them both but you got to roll with the hot hand here”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$4.00
→
close$4.10
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Li Jingliang
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Carlos Prates
v Li Jingliang
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I got to go with the touch of death I got to think Carlos knocks him out”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.34
→
close$1.31
Prates’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.30
TT
Tai Tuivasa
v Jairzinho Rozenstruik
MONEYLINE
LOST
Tai Tuivasa
v Jairzinho Rozenstruik
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I know the whole world loves tuivasa I mean I do too”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.90
→
close$3.06
entry: Fliff · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.31
→
close$1.29
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
DH
Dan Hooker
v Mateusz Gamrot
MONEYLINE
WON
Dan Hooker
v Mateusz Gamrot
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going on the hooker side here because I'm just going to say that Dan hooker's takedown defense holds”
Line since pick
CLV −11%
◆ entry$3.90
→
close$4.40
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
SE
Steve Erceg
v Kai Kara-France
MONEYLINE
LOST
Steve Erceg
v Kai Kara-France
MONEYLINE
LOST
“kakara France is a striker uh with pretty good takedown defense he should be the more technical Striker here”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.61
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
KK
Kai Kara-France
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
Kai Kara-France
v Steve Erceg
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm still on EG just because I like him more”
Line since pick
CLV −19%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$3.10
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
IA
Israel Adesanya
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Israel Adesanya
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“if he's at his best he is going to knock out draus”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.91
→
close$1.96
Adesanya’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.00
DP
Dricus du Plessis
v Israel Adesanya
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Dricus du Plessis
v Israel Adesanya
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“draus has to will enter the pocket to take down is Israel adna”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.05
→
close$2.02
Plessis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.80
JC
Joshua Culibao
v Ricardo Ramos
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Joshua Culibao
v Ricardo Ramos
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I am on the kolab side strictly toughness I think he's the tougher fighter here”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.74
→
close$1.85
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
RR
Ricardo Ramos
v Joshua Culibao
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Ricardo Ramos
v Joshua Culibao
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going to lean Ramos because I think K has some suspect takedown defense”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.34
→
close$2.26
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
JR
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
v Tai Tuivasa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
v Tai Tuivasa
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm on the jarino side and I think it will be by knockout”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.49
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish