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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Prates v Jingliang Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Prates 21
4 Jingliang
MTMUBC pick Prates
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Prates 23-7 VS 19-9 Jingliang
6'1" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 171 lb
78" reach 72"
32 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.5
57% striking accuracy 42%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
48% striking defence 56%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
100% takedown accuracy 41%
91% takedown defence 60%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Brando MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE “incredible performance from Carlos Prates the fighting nerds you cannot pick against the fighting nerds until they lose”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Li Jingliang “would you be on a guy like Li Jingliang Li Jingliang right seems like nobody wants to”
IL IBG Live picks Li Jingliang “Li Jingliang is winning by decision yeah uh Li Jingliang is winning by decision yeah uh Li Jingliang is winning by decision yeah”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Carlos Prates “my subscribers and I went with Carlos Prates” $1.43
TM The MMA-Holes picks Carlos Prates “will Carlos Prates for your procedures”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Carlos Prates “you got Carlos Prates there with a minus 135 Carlos Prates the Rosen trucks right I think have Carlos Prates”
DI DieselGamer79 picks Li Jingliang VALUE “we are going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 that's going to win I believe his method will be um knockout and I'm going to pick it in the second round fight of the night”
JO JohnnyOxMMA picks Carlos Prates “give me Carlos Prates by first round TKO”
DR DRYWALL picks Carlos Prates “Carlos Prates is gonna knock him out”
SP SportsLine picks Carlos Prates “this guy Carlos Prates is one of the best prospects... his striking at range is lethal... I think Carlos Prates is live for a knockout here”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Carlos Prates “I find it hard not to go with Carlos Prates here so I like Carlos Prates to win this fight” $1.25
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Carlos Prates “prattes for the dubsky”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Prates23-7
W Maddalena KO/TKO · R3 May '26
W Edwards KO/TKO · R2 Nov '25
W Neal KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Garry Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Magny KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
Jingliang19-9
L Prates KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Sep '22
W Salikhov KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
L Chimaev Submission · R1 Oct '21
W Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R1 Jan '21