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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Walker v Tafa Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus21 picks · conf 44/99
Walker 14
7 Tafa
BJMMBL pick Walker
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Walker 14-1 VS 7-5 Tafa
6'6" height 6'3"
244 lb weight 205 lb
78" reach 75"
28 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.4 strikes landed / min 2.1
61% striking accuracy 62%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
63% striking defence 55%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
57% takedown accuracy 49%
67% takedown defence 90%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Valter Walker VALUE “credit to Valter Walker uh to Valter Valter Walker the guy's got really good wrestling”
BM Brando MMA picks Valter Walker VALUE “I picked Valter Walker as an underdog because Junior TAA has no takedown defense”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Junior Tafa “I think Valter Walker will be more like 24 mine NOP it's it's it's it's it's Junior Tafa optimal rate”
AM Artem MMA picks Valter Walker “I did pick him to win but it's just the because of striking is so bad”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Valter Walker “Valter Walker is the favorite knockout power yeah and Valter Walker's he was the favorite”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Valter Walker VALUE “I'm gonna take Walker” $2.00
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Valter Walker “I like Valter Walker more around 76”
DR DRYWALL picks Valter Walker VALUE “I'm taking Valter Walker here um money lines plus 110” $2.10
KU Kunath picks Valter Walker VALUE “he's one of my favorite value plays of the week at 8,000 lot to like about Valter Walker”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Junior Tafa VALUE “I like TAA he is my preferred play in that fight” $883.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Valter Walker VALUE “Valter Valter Walker uh like I said you know if he's winning this fight I think it's going to be takedowns control time” $81.00
CO Covers picks Valter Walker VALUE “I do like him in this fight plus 110 taking on Junior Tafa” $2.10
Recent form last five, most recent first
Walker14-1
W Sutherland Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Nzechukwu Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Mayes Submission · R1 Feb '25
W Tafa Submission · R1 Aug '24
L Brzeski Decision · R3 Apr '24
Tafa7-5
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Christian KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Elekana Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Tokkos Submission · R2 Jul '25
W Sharaf KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24