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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read O'Neill v Santos Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
O'Neill 13
15 Santos
JMMTUS pick O'Neill
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
O'Neill 10-2 VS 10-2 Santos
5'6" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 67"
28 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
52% striking accuracy 51%
5.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
57% striking defence 61%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
34% takedown accuracy 40%
70% takedown defence 80%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Casey O'Neill VALUE “I thought Casey O'Neill O'Neill was this fight played out pretty much to what I was expecting”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Casey O'Neill “Casey O'Neill won she won all three rounds”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Luana Santos “I picked Santos for whatever reason I don't know I thought Casey O'Neil who looked [ __ ] against lipsky got subbed and like hurt on the feet and then submitted on the ground um I don't know I thought she would do [ __ ] Luana Santos younger fighter thought she'd have a bit of momentum”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Luana Santos VALUE “want to use her to get Luana Santos to go up because Luana Santos getting wins in the UFC”
AM Artem MMA picks Casey O'Neill “I did pick Santos was it a bad pick yes it was but I I don't really think it was necessarily the fraud check”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Luana Santos VALUE “I am going with nickel here”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Casey O'Neill “I pick Casey O'Neill on Monday and I'm staying with Casey O'Neill”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luana Santos VALUE “the pick is Luana Santos it's an interesting fight I think that my mentality here is Luana Santos just has way more upside potential” $1.69
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Luana Santos “Luana Santos by submission how [ ] boring is that yeah”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luana Santos VALUE “I don't think Casey O'Neill is that good”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Luana Santos “makes me want to play Luana Santos of play as Luana Santos because they're $100”
DR DRYWALL picks Luana Santos “Luana Santos santz love the decision uh here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
O'Neill10-2
W Fernandes KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Santos Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Lipski Submission · R2 Dec '23
L Maia Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Modafferi Decision · R3 Feb '22
Santos10-2
W Rosa Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Croden Decision · R3 Dec '25
W Lisboa Submission · R2 May '25
L O'Neill Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Agapova Submission · R1 Jul '24