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UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hooker v Gamrot Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus38 picks · conf 60/99
Hooker 18
20 Gamrot
BJMSBL pick Hooker
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hooker 24-13 VS 26-4 Gamrot
6'0" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 70"
36 age 35
Switch stance Southpaw
5.0 strikes landed / min 4.9
48% striking accuracy 55%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
51% striking defence 68%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
34% takedown accuracy 44%
78% takedown defence 89%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Dan Hooker VALUE “I felt like Dan Hooker hooker was going to have some success”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Dan Hooker “Dricus du Plessisan Hooker gets it done over matal gamr massive upset”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Dan Hooker “I thought Mateusz Gamrot was going to win”
BM Brando MMA picks Dan Hooker “I scored it 3027 Dan Hooker”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Mateusz Gamrot “big on playing Mateusz Gamrot and there's more ways Mateusz Gamrot is going to”
IL IBG Live picks Dan Hooker VALUE “Dan Hooker at plus 300 is a steal” $4.00
CS Calf Kick Sports picks Mateusz Gamrot “I would lean toward gam rod in here I think he's just the better Grappler better striker in this one”
FI FightOwl picks Mateusz Gamrot “I'm G to say Mateusz Gamrot by”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Dan Hooker “I Dan Hooker”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mateusz Gamrot “I'm picking Mateusz Gamrot because I do believe he's gonna Implement takedown after takedown” $1.28
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Dan Hooker “makes me want to play Dan Hooker and it's terrifying because Dan Hooker can get Dan Hooker wins”
DI DieselGamer79 picks Dan Hooker “I'm gonna go with uh Mateusz Gamrot and”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hooker24-13
L Denis KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
L Tsarukyan Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Gamrot Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Turner Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Puelles KO/TKO · R2 Nov '22
Gamrot26-4
W Ribovics Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Klein Decision · R3 May '25
L Hooker Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Anjos Decision · R3 Mar '24