Choose a fight to analyse
DP
IA
Plessis vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
KK
SE
Kara-France vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
DH
MG
Hooker vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
JR
TT
Rozenstruik vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
CP
LJ
Prates vs JingliangMain Card · Welterweight
VW
JT
Walker vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RR
JC
Ramos vs CulibaoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CO
LS
O'Neill vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JJ
HB
Jenkins vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TN
AR
Nolan vs ReyesEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
SK
RG
Kenan vs GlennEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
SN
Aguilar vs NicollEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
IA
Plessis vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
KK
SE
Kara-France vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight
DH
MG
Hooker vs GamrotMain Card · Lightweight
JR
TT
Rozenstruik vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
CP
LJ
Prates vs JingliangMain Card · Welterweight
VW
JT
Walker vs TafaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RR
JC
Ramos vs CulibaoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CO
LS
O'Neill vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JJ
HB
Jenkins vs BurnsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TN
AR
Nolan vs ReyesEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
SK
RG
Kenan vs GlennEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
JA
SN
Aguilar vs NicollEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
du Plessis v Adesanya
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
du Plessis 23-3
VS
24-5 Adesanya
6'1"
height
6'4"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
80"
32
age
36
Switch
stance
Switch
4.9
strikes landed / min
4.0
53%
striking accuracy
50%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
58%
striking defence
57%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
45%
takedown accuracy
33%
50%
takedown defence
81%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
JA
JakeGerberMMA picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“man Dricus du Plessis unbelievable performance by him”
JakeGerberMMA picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“man Dricus du Plessis unbelievable performance by him”
BM
Brando MMA picks Dricus du Plessis
“good win from Dricus du Plessis he gets it done”
Brando MMA picks Dricus du Plessis
“good win from Dricus du Plessis he gets it done”
RA
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“if Israel Adesanya wins you know Israel Adesanya's the play to get away if your lineup”
RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“if Israel Adesanya wins you know Israel Adesanya's the play to get away if your lineup”
AM
Artem MMA picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I stuck to my guns I stuck to my GDP pck did he look like the better fighter in there no dupy looked really really sloppy”
Artem MMA picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I stuck to my guns I stuck to my GDP pck did he look like the better fighter in there no dupy looked really really sloppy”
IL
IBG Live picks Israel Adesanya
“I got Li Jingliang I got Jairzinho Rozenstruik I got Mateusz Gamrot I got a Steve Erceg and I got Israel Adesanya got Israel Adesanya got Israel Adesanya let's see if all my picks get right baby”
IBG Live picks Israel Adesanya
“I got Li Jingliang I got Jairzinho Rozenstruik I got Mateusz Gamrot I got a Steve Erceg and I got Israel Adesanya got Israel Adesanya got Israel Adesanya let's see if all my picks get right baby”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm still picking out a Sonia is the pick and we all agree on there including uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 so the next fight here it is uh I get okay I guess I'll go with the 8200 first and that is Junior tafa at 8200 taking on Tai Tuivasa at 8,000... my pick is Tai Tuivasa”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm still picking out a Sonia is the pick and we all agree on there including uh NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 so the next fight here it is uh I get okay I guess I'll go with the 8200 first and that is Junior tafa at 8200 taking on Tai Tuivasa at 8,000... my pick is Tai Tuivasa”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I kind of see this as if you remember the first Robert Whitaker fight where Whitaker just came out and tried to Blitz him and uh you know adisan did his Matrix thing and got a really slick knockout I kind of think that he can do the same thing here”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I kind of see this as if you remember the first Robert Whitaker fight where Whitaker just came out and tried to Blitz him and uh you know adisan did his Matrix thing and got a really slick knockout I kind of think that he can do the same thing here”
CS
Calf Kick Sports picks Israel Adesanya
“I'm definitely leaning toward Israel Adesanya becoming the second three three-time UFC champion”
Calf Kick Sports picks Israel Adesanya
“I'm definitely leaning toward Israel Adesanya becoming the second three three-time UFC champion”
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Dricus du Plessis
“Dricus du Plessis has my vote again”
The MMA-Holes picks Dricus du Plessis
“Dricus du Plessis has my vote again”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Dricus du Plessis
“I'm on uh drias Dricus du Plessis dupes Dricus du Plessis”
$1.91
Capper Comparison Picks picks Dricus du Plessis
“I'm on uh drias Dricus du Plessis dupes Dricus du Plessis”
$1.91
Recent form
last five, most recent first
du Plessis23-3
L
Chimaev
Aug '25
W
Strickland
Feb '25
W
Adesanya
Aug '24
W
Strickland
Jan '24
W
Whittaker
Jul '23
Adesanya24-5
L
Pyfer
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Feb '25
L
Plessis
Aug '24
L
Strickland
Sep '23
W
Pereira
Apr '23